<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.2 20190208//EN" "http://jats.nlm.nih.gov/publishing/1.2/JATS-journalpublishing1.dtd"><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.2" xml:lang="en">
    <front>
        <journal-meta>
            <journal-id journal-id-type="pmc">F1000Research</journal-id>
            <journal-title-group>
                <journal-title>F1000Research</journal-title>
            </journal-title-group>
            <issn pub-type="epub">2046-1402</issn>
            <publisher>
                <publisher-name>F1000 Research Limited</publisher-name>
                <publisher-loc>London, UK</publisher-loc>
            </publisher>
        </journal-meta>
        <article-meta>
            <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.12688/f1000research.172519.1</article-id>
            <article-categories>
                <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
                    <subject>Research Article</subject>
                </subj-group>
                <subj-group>
                    <subject>Articles</subject>
                </subj-group>
            </article-categories>
            <title-group>
                <article-title>Effect of Corruption, Inequality, and Unemployment on Poverty in South African Perspective: Evidence from Quantile Regression Model.</article-title>
                <fn-group content-type="pub-status">
                    <fn>
                        <p>[version 1; peer review: 1 approved with reservations, 1 not approved]</p>
                    </fn>
                </fn-group>
            </title-group>
            <contrib-group>
                <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
                    <name>
                        <surname>Ngubane</surname>
                        <given-names>Mbongeni</given-names>
                    </name>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Conceptualization</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Data Curation</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Formal Analysis</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Methodology</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Resources</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Writing &#x2013; Original Draft Preparation</role>
                    <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9566-6336</uri>
                    <xref ref-type="corresp" rid="c1">a</xref>
                    <xref ref-type="aff" rid="a1">1</xref>
                </contrib>
                <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no">
                    <name>
                        <surname>Kaseeram</surname>
                        <given-names>Irshaad</given-names>
                    </name>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Project Administration</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Supervision</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Validation</role>
                    <role content-type="http://credit.niso.org/">Visualization</role>
                    <xref ref-type="aff" rid="a2">2</xref>
                </contrib>
                <aff id="a1">
                    <label>1</label>Economics, University of Zululand Faculty of Commerce Administration and Law, KwaDlangezwa, South Africa</aff>
                <aff id="a2">
                    <label>2</label>Economics, University of Zululand Faculty of Commerce Administration and Law, KwaDlangezwa, South Africa</aff>
            </contrib-group>
            <author-notes>
                <corresp id="c1">
                    <label>a</label>
                    <email xlink:href="mailto:mbongeh4zweh@gmail.com">mbongeh4zweh@gmail.com</email>
                </corresp>
                <fn fn-type="conflict">
                    <p>No competing interests were disclosed.</p>
                </fn>
            </author-notes>
            <pub-date pub-type="epub">
                <day>22</day>
                <month>12</month>
                <year>2025</year>
            </pub-date>
            <pub-date pub-type="collection">
                <year>2025</year>
            </pub-date>
            <volume>14</volume>
            <elocation-id>1420</elocation-id>
            <history>
                <date date-type="accepted">
                    <day>13</day>
                    <month>12</month>
                    <year>2025</year>
                </date>
            </history>
            <permissions>
                <copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x00a9; 2025 Ngubane M and Kaseeram I</copyright-statement>
                <copyright-year>2025</copyright-year>
                <license xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
                    <license-p>This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</license-p>
                </license>
            </permissions>
            <self-uri content-type="pdf" xlink:href="https://f1000research.com/articles/14-1420/pdf"/>
            <abstract>
                <sec>
                    <title>Background introduction</title>
                    <p>Corruption has emerged to the point where it is underreported but in reality, it haunts many people daily, especially in public offices. In South Africa the corruption take place in most government institutions, government administration at top level, middle and lower level of government. Corruption benefits the few and harm the majority of people living as lower income households. The economic literature has little evidence of the connection between corruption and poverty. Many studies have concentrated on the causal effect of poverty on corruption, not vice versa.</p>
                </sec>
                <sec>
                    <title>Method</title>
                    <p>This study extends the literature on corruption to investigate the impact of corruption on poverty from a South African perspective. Other control variables such as the Gini coefficient and unemployment were considered equally. Secondary data stretching from 2000 to 2021 were selected based on data availability it was then converted to quarterly data (poverty and corruption). The study used the quantile regression model, descriptive statistics table and data trends of the selected variables.</p>
                </sec>
                <sec>
                    <title>Results</title>
                    <p>The results of the quantile regression model indicate that corruption has a positive and significant effect on poverty at all quantiles (25
                        <sup>th</sup>, 50
                        <sup>th</sup>, and 75
                        <sup>th</sup>). Moreover, income inequality has a positive, dominant, and significant effect on poverty at all quantiles, and unemployment equally causes poverty at all quantiles. This imply that socio-economic issues are a threat that exacerbate poverty in South Africa.</p>
                </sec>
                <sec>
                    <title>Conclusion</title>
                    <p>The study argues that policymakers should invest in youth development programs concerning entrepreneurship, education and support women cooperatives and small businesses to reduce the high dependency ratio of people on state services and to reduce high inequality and unemployment rates. The study was limited to investigate the causal effect that run from corruption to poverty only and not on the other way around.</p>
                </sec>
            </abstract>
            <kwd-group kwd-group-type="author">
                <kwd>Corruption</kwd>
                <kwd>Poverty and Quantile Regression</kwd>
            </kwd-group>
            <funding-group>
                <award-group id="fund-1">
                    <funding-source>National Research Fund (NRF)</funding-source>
                    <award-id>MND210613610842</award-id>
                </award-group>
                <funding-statement>This research project was funded by the National Research Fund (NRF) under the funding reference number MND210613610842.</funding-statement>
                <funding-statement>
                    <italic>The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.</italic>
                </funding-statement>
            </funding-group>
        </article-meta>
    </front>
    <body>
        <sec id="sec5" sec-type="intro">
            <title>1. Introduction</title>
            <p>&#x201c;
                <italic toggle="yes">Do not accept a bribe for a bribe blinds those who see and twist the words of the innocent&#x201d;</italic> Holy Bible as cited by (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">&#x0160;umah 2018</xref>). If corruption did not exist, some of those in positions, work, and decision makers would be somewhere else, and the poor could be somewhere living their dreams. Corruption is an issue affecting the world, and some studies have established its relationship with poverty such as (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">Salahuddin et al., 2020</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">Justesenb and J&#x00f8;rnskov 2014</xref>). At the beginning of 2025, more than 800 million people worldwide live in poverty or below the international poverty line (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">Alfani and Pavelesku 2021</xref>). This gives a glimpse of COVID-19 role in amplifying poverty; however, at the same time, some authorities were driven out of power because they misused funds that were supposed to help people (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref36">Mudau 2022</xref>). The poverty has its roots in rural areas in Africa, (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">Alfani and Pavelesku 2021</xref>) noted that Africa hold two-third of the world poorest population (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">Silwal et al., 2020</xref>). In the same demographic, 40% of those people live in transitory poverty, 60% of whom are chronically poor, especially in remote locations, whereas in urban areas, more than 50% of those living in poverty are children under the age of 15 (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref11">Beegle and Christiaensen 2019</xref>).</p>
            <p>In the history of colonization, developed economies colonized less-developed economies with knowledge, slavery, and trade (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref2">Acemoglu and Robinson 2017</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref40">Ocheni and Nwankwo 2012</xref>). The barter system was an efficient way of trading among Africans; during that era, poverty, unemployment, crime, inflation, exchange rate issues, and other factors never existed. This is verified by (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref52">Wood, 1958</xref>), who in their study have indicated Lords Macaulay&#x2019;s address in the British parliament on the 2
                <sup>nd</sup> February, 1835:
                <disp-quote>
                    <p>&#x201c;
                        <italic toggle="yes">I have travelled across the length and breadth of Africa and I have not seen one person who is a beggar, who is a thief such wealth I have seen in this country, such high moral values, and people of such calibre&#x2026; I propose that we replace her old and ancient education system, her culture, for if the Africans think that all that is foreign and English is good and greater than their own, they will lose their self-esteem, their native culture and they will become what we want them, a truly dominated nation.</italic>&#x201d; (
                        <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref52">Wood, 1958</xref>).</p>
                </disp-quote>
            </p>
            <p>Today Africa hold two-third of the world poorest population (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref46">Silwal et al., 2020</xref>; 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref5">Alfani and Pavelesku 2021</xref>). Who has ever imagined previously that Africans would suffer on their land, buy beef and other foodstuff they owned, and never traded for them before? Food security was balanced and there was no topic of climate change because they adapted to God&#x2019;s gift of nature.</p>
            <p>The South African reality of poverty, unemployment, and other socio-economic issues contain traces of the apartheid regime. For example, the average unemployment rate has not changed since the post-apartheid era began in 1994. South Africans imagined the post-apartheid period as a game changer, where blacks and whites owned assets and wealth equally. However, white people remain in the top positions Human Right Commission (2023) based on assert ownership (see 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
Figure 1</xref> below). Simultaneously, blacks remain highly dependent on the government&#x2019;s social security benefits. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">John (2021)</xref> validated that corruption remains systematically intact in societal structures.</p>
            <fig fig-type="figure" id="f1" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Figure 1. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Assert Ownership according to Races.</title>
                    <p>Source: Statistics South Africa: the figure shows average asset score between 2009 (in blue) and 2015 (in black). It shows a trend, blacks are at the bottom end, and whites on top end. The vertical axis, shows the population group, horizontal axis shows the values.</p>
                </caption>
                <graphic id="gr1" orientation="portrait" position="float" xlink:href="https://f1000research-files.f1000.com/manuscripts/190252/9ee0ad30-66f5-4259-a668-732bf95d5f11_figure1.gif"/>
            </fig>
            <p>Therefore, 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
Figure 1</xref> can be interpreted in two ways concerning poverty and corruption. This simply means that assertions based on white people remain distributed in the same channel even in the post-apartheid period. This means that black people remain the majority living in poverty, especially absolute poverty. Second, policies such as BBBEE aimed at uplifting black people have triggered a highly unequal society among blacks (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">Koelble 2022</xref>). Those in power exercise corruption to attain public assertions, while those living in poverty remain in the cycle of poverty.</p>
            <p>The Palma ratio compares the income expenditure of the 10% richest population divided by the poorest 40% of the population, as indicated in 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f2">
Figure 2</xref> below. In 2015, the top richest people spent 7.9 times more than the bottom 40% population. This means that the income for the richest 10% could be distributed among the poorest 40% of the population, thus making them wealthier. The year 2015 marked 21 years of democracy and fell under the NDP program towards 2030.</p>
            <fig fig-type="figure" id="f2" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Figure 2. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Palma ratio.</title>
                    <p>Source: Statistics South Africa: in the figure there is definition of Palma ration, figure of ten individuals representing the total population of SA, the blue guy represent the richest 10% of the population, the grey individuals sample indicates middle income, and the marron individuals represent bottom lower income 40% population.</p>
                </caption>
                <graphic id="gr2" orientation="portrait" position="float" xlink:href="https://f1000research-files.f1000.com/manuscripts/190252/9ee0ad30-66f5-4259-a668-732bf95d5f11_figure2.gif"/>
            </fig>
            <p>Education is well established in South Africa, but graduates produced annually are not equally absorbed in the labor market (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref31">Macginty 2024</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref35">Mseleku 2022</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref22">Graham et al., 2019</xref>). The general perception and comedy established in social media such as Tiktok are scenarios where unemployed people (young) are associated with less connected people (not known to influential people who give them jobs). Moreover, it is becoming normal for people to pay bribes or sexual enslavement to attain employment systematically (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref39">Ntshangase 2024</xref>).</p>
            <p>However, such perceptions can be revealed in a primary data-based study. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">Justesenb and J&#x00f8;rnskov (2014)</xref> argued that poor people, through their reliance on public services, are more likely to pay bribes. This means that poor people in high societal positions are more likely to be greedy in satisfying themselves first. In this way, the poor remain poor, which could also be a reason they have been emerging for the killing of ward councillors, especially in KZN province (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref38">Nomarwayi et al. 1938</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref33">Matamba and Chwayita 2024</xref>). People perceive that at a lower level of government, they are at the forefront of using state funds for their benefits.</p>
            <p>Therefore, the problem in South Africa observed in this study is a high level of poverty, unemployment rate, and high inequality. Therefore, the objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of corruption on poverty in South Africa. Evaluate the role of inequality in poverty. This study is equally interested in contributing to the body of knowledge on the econometric evaluation of poverty as a function of corruption, inequality, and unemployment rate.</p>
            <p>The literature provides insights into the connection between corruption and poverty. For example, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">Salahuddin 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2020)</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref43">Rahayu (2012)</xref>, (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref13">Cabral 2017</xref>), (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref41">Oliveira, Ferreira, and Costa 2022</xref>) and (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref19">Eshun and Baah 2019</xref>) find that corruption causes poverty. On the other hand, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref44">Riley and Chilanga (2018)</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">Adebayo (2013)</xref>, and 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref1">&#x00dc;nver and Koyuncu (2018)</xref> indicated that poverty is the cause of corruption, contrary to earlier studies. Therefore, this study investigates the effect of corruption on poverty from the South African perspective.</p>
            <p>The literature is silent on the effect of corruption on different people living in different categories of poverty (food poverty, lower bound, and upper bound poverty). Therefore, the main objective of this study is to establish a link between corruption and poverty (categorized in different quantiles) in South Africa. This is because poverty varies across societies and deprivation may be chronic or transitory. The remainder of this paper is structured as follows: the second section covers the literature review, followed by the methodology, discussion of the results, and last section covers conclusion.</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec6">
            <title>2. Literature review</title>
            <p>The following views of poverty are derived from the classical school of thought, the neoclassical school of thought, the Keynesian/Neo-liberal view of poverty, and the Marxian/radical view of poverty. The following discussion stamps the footsteps of (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref17">Davis and Sanchez-martinez, 2014</xref>). Beginning with the classical school of thought is rooted in the fact that individuals are the main causes of poverty; therefore, laziness or making bad decisions in life produces a reward called poverty. For example, it is common today in South Africa in both urban and rural areas to find tuck shops and emerging supermarkets operated by foreigners selling goods for South Africans. In this case, South Africans&#x2019; laziness remains a common cause of poverty. These theories provide a glimpse of both poverty and inequality. However, this section focuses more on the political theory of poverty because poverty is explained in light of corruption.</p>
            <p>Lennon and McCartney illuminate the philosophy of politics as actions aimed at stabilizing the situation to prevent the worse situation from taking place and to bring change that yields positive or negative changes (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref48">Strauss 1957</xref>). Rural communities require local government services that adhere to positive changes in the community to live above the living income benchmark. Therefore, regarding rural communities with people living below the income benchmark, the local government is democratically selected by individuals. Then, it should bring positive change through excellent service delivery, act in favor of society, and avoid fraud and corruption.</p>
            <p>
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref47">Stark (2009)</xref> argued that international policies aimed at alleviating poverty are normally the work of politicians. However, academic work usually proposes strategies that influence policymakers. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref47">Stark (2009)</xref> makes explicit connections between the political theory of poverty and liberal theory by devising poverty as a subject to morality, justice, and utility. From a human rights point of view, everyone should not be deprived of necessities, irrespective of possession or income. For example, the SA Bill of Rights provides several rights that everyone should be entitled to, such as housing, food, water, education, and health, following the MDGs that aimed to halve poverty by 2015.</p>
            <p>Poverty is viewed as injustice; this is the idiom of 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref47">Stark (2009)</xref> in the liberal theory of poverty. The definition of poverty usually involves the word &#x201c;deprivation&#x201d; of human needs, this word is a focal point in this stage. However, capitalists view poor people as responsible for being poor, and assume that poverty is not a social problem, meaning that nobody should be held responsible for taking care of the poor. The liberal view of injustice states that laws, rights, and strategies should be established to curb poverty. Therefore, in a political system, politicians should formulate the rights and policies that will work in favor of the poor to prevent the change from being worse.</p>
            <p>The last idiom of poverty is utility. In simple terms, utility is satisfaction, which means poverty is a sense of disutility that requires intense research to come up with solutions to the problem. The liberal view contends that education on the causes of poverty could lead to better policies, programs, and influences that could curb poverty. However, liberal theory asserts that states should be responsible for developing and implementing poverty alleviation programs that sometimes lead to misuse of funds in the process. This could be linked to what 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref12">Brady (2019)</xref> calls resource theory, in which political officials access power through access to the control of resources and money. Therefore, resource theory states that the political institution responsible for the formulation and implementation of policies are responsible for causing poverty. This is in line with radical theory, which states that the social and political systems used in a certain economy are itself a cause of poverty.</p>
            <p>
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">&#x0160;umah (2018)</xref> derives corruption from the word 
                <italic toggle="yes">corruptus</italic> which means corruption, abuse of the high-power position for personal gain. This is normally related to the abuse of funds by trusted high-profile officials for their gains, influenced by greed, unethical conduct, and other weakening factors of the system. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref4">Aidt (2003)</xref> lists several elements of corruption, such as efficient corruption, where the transaction between the two parties that should run from one party (official) to the other (beneficial) ends up benefiting a third party that was not supposed to benefit. For example, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">&#x0160;umah (2018)</xref> highlights the issue of bribery as an open employment post ends up being given to an individual who bribes the employer instead of hiring the best candidate. The second element is when non-beneficiaries are given the power to make final decisions; this is called the principle of benevolent corruption. The third element involves the non-beneficial principle of corruption, meaning that officials are supposed to distribute resources for public benefit. Instead, they introduce policies that permit them to abuse the private sector by extracting funds illegally from them. For example, selling public goods is characterized as community goods for all. Corruption inertia is the fourth element, which means that corruption occurs over time because of spill-over from one office to another.</p>
            <p>
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">&#x0160;umah (2018)</xref> argues that corruption is amplified by a lack of professional ethical practice and corruption, which in turn harms economic growth, investment, job creation, and assistance programs meant for the poor. It reduces the tax income for the state at the same time that state officials have a way to operate above the law they formulated and, lastly, the quality of education.</p>
            <p>Empirical literature begins with a relationship that involves the causal effect between corruption and poverty. There is limited evidence in the broad literature and South African context. Considering the following example, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">Salahuddin 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2020)</xref> investigated the nexus between the two aforementioned variables in South Africa. The secondary data from 1991 to 2016 were regressed using the ARDL model. The study found that corruption amplifies poverty in the long run, whereas globalization reduces it. This study provides a glimpse of the advantages of globalization in the economy. Similarly, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref43">Rahayu (2012)</xref> noted that corruption, bribery, fraud, and nepotism become daily life experiences. The study found that corruption is the root cause of poverty in the economy and not vice versa. The study based its findings on the Granger causality test between variables over time.</p>
            <p>Based on the primary data from the Lilongwe area, the study undertook in-depth interviews were conducted. It found that the incidence of food insecurity in the region is mainly caused by corruption the author named it the &#x201c;political culture&#x201d; following the cash-gate scandal revealed in 2013 September (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref44">Riley and Chilanga, 2018</xref>). In Nigeria, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref3">Adebayo (2013)</xref> shared similar sentiments and corrupted proper insults. Calling it the deputy root of evil, fire that burns funds for the needy, and a road that misleads resources to wrongful benefits as indicated by resource theory.</p>
            <p>In the USA, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref18">Dincer (2008)</xref> notes that corruption causes both poverty and inequality. The study relied on various measures of inequality, such as the Gini index, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and Atkinson index, while poverty was sourced from the US Census Bureau. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref26">Justesenb and J&#x00f8;rnskov (2014)</xref> argued that poor people, through their reliance on public services, are in the trap of paying bribes. Public servants are equally confident that people will pay bribes because they are a monopoly of the services. The study&#x2019;s findings were derived from a multiple regression model, and the data were extracted from 18 different economies.</p>
            <p>
Other findings confirm that poverty causes corruption. For example, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref42">Pierre (2020)</xref> indicates that corruption, slavery, international aid, and unemployment are the root causes of poverty in Haiti. On the other hand, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref32">Mantzaris and Pillay (2019)</xref> validated that corruption equally harms economic growth and international trade. This study is based on the fact that the loss of a good leadership style, ethical conduct, group greediness, and political institutions are root sources of corruption. Contrary to 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">&#x0160;umah (2018)</xref>, who in the theoretical discussion indicated that religious organizations where protestants dominate have less corruption stimulus packages. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref10">Ayub (2013)</xref> added that not only is economic growth negatively affected by corruption, but community resources are also diverted, as the theory highlighted earlier. Resources highlighted by the author include education, health, electricity, water, and sanitation. All these resources are valid in the current study for living income. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref51">Vahideh 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2010)</xref> indicate that poverty and corruption have bidirectional causality. The study used the panel GMM and data stretched from 1997 to 2006, and poverty was measured using the Human Poverty Index (HPI).</p>
            <p>Moreover, earlier studies, such as 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref7">Anoruo and Braha (2005)</xref>, indicated that corruption harms economic growth. The study used the panel methodology of 18 African economies using data ranging from 1996 to 2001. The study adds that poverty and economic growth cause corruption, meaning that development indicators are used to predict corruption. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref14">Cie&#x015b;lik and Goczek (2018)</xref> note that if the level of corruption is silenced, economic growth can flourish. The study used the Panel GMM through the secondary data of 142 economies that stretched from 1994 to 2004. The study further argues that economic growth stimulates investment and per capita income.</p>
            <p>
Other studies validated the relationship between corruption and income inequality. For example, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref50">Ullah (2022)</xref> indicated that corruption has a positive effect on inequality because income often goes to government officials, who are expected to distribute wealth evenly. The study uses the GMM approach and indicates the robustness of the results obtained, irrespective of changing the equation specification. Earlier studies, such as 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref8">Apergis 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2010)</xref>, indicate that corruption is the root cause of inequality and unemployment. These two variables are important in this study because they were included as control variables. This study collected secondary data for 50 states in the United States of America, and panel cointegration by Pedroni was employed. The following section describes the methodological procedures used in this study.</p>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec7">
            <title>3. Methodology</title>
            <p>The following discussion describes the four important building blocks of a model: the nature of the data, theoretical model, empirical model, and diagnostic tests. The study relies on secondary data that consist of numerical values to make economic sense through a quantile regression model. This means that the study relies on the positivism approach, in which quantitative models are used to display certain meanings displayed by the data.</p>
            <sec id="sec8">
                <title>3.1 Data</title>
                <p>Secondary data are used in the data, and the first variable of interest is poverty, measured by food poverty extracted from easy data (Quantec). Despite the economic growth attained in the post-apartheid period (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref29">Langalanga 2019</xref>). Food poverty is illegal in South Africa, which is why there have been social security grants in the post-apartheid period. At the same time, access to basic needs is a universal human right for all. The second variable of interest is corruption control, which is a proxy for corruption extracted from the World Bank database. SA has been ranked as an unequal society characterized by high corruption enforced by its weak system and politically connected officials (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">&#x0160;umah 2018</xref>).</p>
                <p>The third variable is the Gini coefficient, a common measure of income inequality, which was extracted from easy data (Quantec). SA is highly unequal as highlighted above with a Gini index of 0.63 during the time of writing and an average value of 0.70 (see results section). The last variable used is the unemployment rate, it is no doubt that the South African unemployment rate is very high in Africa and the world. Even illiterate people can observe that from reality, even if they cannot tell the real statistics. The latter two variables are control variables; moreover, corruption, poverty, and the Gini index were converted to quarterly data in Eviews version 9.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="sec9">
                <title>3.2 Theoretical background</title>
                <p>
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref49">&#x0160;umah (2018)</xref> asserts that corruption is amplified by a lack of professional ethical practice and corruption, which in turn harms economic growth, investment, job creation, and assistance programs meant for the poor. It reduces the tax income for the state at the same time that state officials have a way to operate above the law they formulated and, lastly, the quality of education. 
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref47">Stark (2009)</xref> argued that international policies aimed at alleviating poverty are normally the work of politicians. However, academic work usually proposes strategies that influence policymakers. 
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref47">Stark (2009)</xref> makes explicit connections between the political theory of poverty and liberal theory by devising poverty as a subject to morality, justice, and utility. From a human rights point of view, everyone should not be deprived of necessities, irrespective of possession or income. For example, the SA Bill of Rights provides several rights that everyone should be entitled to, such as housing, food, water, education, and health, following the MDGs that aimed to halve poverty by 2015. However, as indicated above, resources may divert from the target population through corrupt individuals.</p>
                <p>Model specification</p>
                <p>Quantile regression is nothing but an extension of the simple ordinary least squares (OLS) model. It addresses issues that may fail to hold in simple OLS models, such as heteroscedasticity tests, serial correlation tests, and normality tests. It produces results for different quantiles, such as the 25
                    <sup>th</sup>, 50
                    <sup>th</sup>, and 75
                    <sup>th</sup> quantiles and other available forms. Similar to the ARDL model, it uses the variables at levels without manipulating them; this allows the model to produce highly trusted results from the untransformed data. This study uses the following specification adopted by (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">Salahuddin et al. 2020</xref>).
                    <disp-formula id="e1">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:mtext>Poverty</mml:mtext>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mi mathvariant="normal">F</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mspace width="0.25em"/>
                            <mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mtext>Corruption</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mo>,</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mtext>income inequality</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                            </mml:mrow>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(1)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>The linear model expression provides a specification of the model, including control variables such as income inequality covered by (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">Alvi and Senbeta, 2014</xref>).
                    <disp-formula id="e2">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi mathvariant="italic">Pov</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b1;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Corr</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Gini</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi mathvariant="italic">Un</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b5;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(2)</label>
</disp-formula>

                    <disp-formula id="e3">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi mathvariant="italic">Pov</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b1;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c9;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c9;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Corr</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c9;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Gini</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c9;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi mathvariant="italic">Un</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b5;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(3)</label>
</disp-formula>

                    <disp-formula id="e4">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi mathvariant="italic">Pov</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b1;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c6;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c6;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Corr</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c6;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mtext mathvariant="italic">Gini</mml:mtext>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c6;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi mathvariant="italic">Un</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b5;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(4)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>Where 

                    <italic toggle="yes">Pov,
</italic> denotes poverty as a dependent variable, 
                    <italic toggle="yes">Corr</italic> denotes Corruption, 
                    <italic toggle="yes">Gini</italic> denotes the Gini coefficient, and 
                    <italic toggle="yes">Un</italic> denotes unemployment rates. Other coefficients like
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:mspace width="0.25em"/>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b1;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mn>0</mml:mn>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula>, are constant terms,

                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:mspace width="0.25em"/>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b5;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula>, is the error term. The notations (
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mo>,</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mi>&#x03c9;</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mo>,</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mi>&#x03c6;</mml:mi>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula>) denote the 25
                    <sup>th</sup>, 50
                    <sup>th,</sup> and 75
                    <sup>th</sup> quantile 
                    <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="e2">Equations 2</xref>, 
                    <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="e3">3</xref>, and 
                    <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="e4">4</xref>, respectively. This means that poverty is elastically different in its conditional distribution (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">Alvi and Senbeta, 2014</xref>). Previous studies that used the above specifications used different approaches; however, this study used a quantile regression.</p>
            </sec>
            <sec id="sec10">
                <title>3.3 Empirical model</title>
                <p>The quantile regression model provides insight into the relationship between the dependent and explanatory variables in different quantiles, as indicated above. Apart from the advantages stated above, the quantile regression absolute-loss regression model at the 50
                    <sup>th</sup> quantile is powerful for outliers in both dependent and independent variables. It is a piecewise linear regression; therefore, it is similar to solving linear programming problems. Few studies have used it to investigate the relationship between poverty and corruption such as (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">Alvi and Senbeta, 2014</xref>). Furthermore, 
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref30">Le 

                        <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2019)</xref> used it to investigate the relationship between trade liberalization poverty and inequality. Other studies have used it to examine the determinants of poverty in different regions of the world (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref9">Armando 

                        <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> 2020</xref>; 
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref20">Garza-rodriguez 

                        <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> 2021</xref>). We consider the following equation:
                    <disp-formula id="e5">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:mtable displaystyle="true">
                                <mml:mtr>
                                    <mml:mtd>
                                        <mml:msub>
                                            <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                        </mml:msub>
                                        <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                                        <mml:msub>
                                            <mml:mi>&#x03b1;</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:mn>0</mml:mn>
                                        </mml:msub>
                                        <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                                        <mml:msub>
                                            <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                                        </mml:msub>
                                        <mml:msub>
                                            <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                        </mml:msub>
                                        <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                                        <mml:msub>
                                            <mml:mi>&#x03f5;</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                        </mml:msub>
                                    </mml:mtd>
                                </mml:mtr>
                                <mml:mtr>
                                    <mml:mtd>
                                        <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                        <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                                        <mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
                                        <mml:mo>&#x2026;</mml:mo>
                                        <mml:mi>n</mml:mi>
                                    </mml:mtd>
                                </mml:mtr>
                            </mml:mtable>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(5)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>Where 
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula> the dependent variable, 
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b1;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mn>0</mml:mn>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula> is the constant term, 
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula> is the slope coefficient for the regressors, which can also be estimated using least squares. 
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula>, is the quantile position like the 50
                    <sup>th</sup> quantile. If
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:mspace width="0.25em"/>
                            <mml:mi>E</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mi>&#x03f5;</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                </mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo>|</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                </mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                            </mml:mrow>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mn>0</mml:mn>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula>, it means the conditional mean of the dependent variable concerning the regressor (X) is as follows:
                    <disp-formula id="e6">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:mi>E</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mi>&#x03f5;</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                </mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo>|</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                </mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                            </mml:mrow>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(6)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>By minimizing the following equation, the coefficient in 
                    <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="e6">
Equation (6)</xref> can be estimated as follows:
                    <disp-formula id="e7">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo mathvariant="italic">Min</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:munder>
                                <mml:mo>&#x2211;</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:munder>
                            <mml:msup>
                                <mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:msub>
                                        <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                        <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                    </mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:msub>
                                        <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                        <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                                    </mml:msub>
                                    <mml:msub>
                                        <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                        <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                    </mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                                </mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
                            </mml:msup>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(7)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>Therefore 
                    <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="e6">Equation 6</xref> is similar to 
                    <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="e7">Equation 7</xref> in the sense that:
                    <disp-formula id="e8">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>Q</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                </mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo>|</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                </mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                            </mml:mrow>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(8)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>Therefore, quantile regression can minimize the sum of the absolute values of errors (
                    <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref6">Alvi and Senbeta, 2014</xref>). Because the model is estimated for different quantiles, it is important to demonstrate the connection between the coefficient for the repressor and quantile. Furthermore, the estimation becomes important to produce results that appeal to policymakers regarding how they approach problems related to poverty and its determinants. The marginal effect of repressors is captured in the coefficient estimation (see the following equation):
                    <disp-formula id="e9">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:mi>Q</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msub>
                                    <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                                </mml:msub>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                            </mml:mrow>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:munderover>
                                <mml:mo>&#x2211;</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mo>:</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:msub>
                                        <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                        <mml:mrow>
                                            <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:mo>&#x2265;</mml:mo>
                                            <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:msub>
                                                <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                            </mml:msub>
                                        </mml:mrow>
                                    </mml:msub>
                                </mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mi>n</mml:mi>
                            </mml:munderover>
                            <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mo>|</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
                                </mml:mrow>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo>|</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                                <mml:munderover>
                                    <mml:mo>&#x2211;</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:mrow>
                                        <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                        <mml:mo>:</mml:mo>
                                        <mml:msub>
                                            <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                            <mml:mrow>
                                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                                <mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo>
                                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                                <mml:msub>
                                                    <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                                </mml:msub>
                                            </mml:mrow>
                                        </mml:msub>
                                    </mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mi>n</mml:mi>
                                </mml:munderover>
                                <mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
                                    <mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                                </mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo>|</mml:mo>
                            </mml:mrow>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03c4;</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>X</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>|</mml:mo>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(9)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>The estimation of the model begins by explaining the behaviour of the sample data in the form of graphs, followed by a descriptive statistics table. Before the model was performed, the stationary test using the Augmented Dickey-fulley test (ADF) and Philips Perron (PP) tests was performed. Therefore, for time-series data, this study focuses on augmented Dickey&#x2013;Fuller (ADF) and Phillips&#x2013;Perron (PP) tests, which are common in the literature. Consider the following 
                    <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="e10">Equation 10</xref> based on the ADF test:
                    <disp-formula id="e10">

                        <mml:math display="block">
                            <mml:mo>&#x2206;</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>y</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b2;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mi>&#x03b4;</mml:mi>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>Y</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
                                </mml:mrow>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:munderover>
                                <mml:mo>&#x2211;</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
                                </mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mi>m</mml:mi>
                            </mml:munderover>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>&#x03b1;</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mn>1</mml:mn>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>&#x2206;</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>Y</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mrow>
                                    <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mo>&#x2212;</mml:mo>
                                    <mml:mi>i</mml:mi>
                                </mml:mrow>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>+</mml:mo>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>u</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mspace width="0.25em"/>
                        </mml:math>

                        <label>(10)</label>
</disp-formula>
                </p>
                <p>The above model is augmented because it includes the lagged dependent variable. As stated in the previous section, t denotes the time trend if the model is non-stationary. Based on the ADF, the coefficient 
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:mi>&#x03b4;</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mo>=</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mn>0</mml:mn>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula> in the case of the unit root problem. The error term is assumed to be white noise
                    <inline-formula>

                        <mml:math display="inline">
                            <mml:mspace width="0.25em"/>
                            <mml:msub>
                                <mml:mi>u</mml:mi>
                                <mml:mi>t</mml:mi>
                            </mml:msub>
                            <mml:mo>&#x223c;</mml:mo>
                            <mml:mi mathvariant="italic">iid</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mspace width="0.25em"/>
                            <mml:mi>N</mml:mi>
                            <mml:mrow>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">(</mml:mo>
                                <mml:mn>0</mml:mn>
                                <mml:mo>,</mml:mo>
                                <mml:msup>
                                    <mml:mi>&#x03c3;</mml:mi>
                                    <mml:mn>2</mml:mn>
                                </mml:msup>
                                <mml:mo stretchy="true">)</mml:mo>
                            </mml:mrow>
                        </mml:math>
</inline-formula>, independently and identically distributed. Unlike the ADF test, the PP test corrects for serial correlation in the time series data.</p>
            </sec>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec11">
            <title>4. Discussion of the results</title>
            <p>The discussion of the results begins with the analytical behavior of the variables used in the study. As previously indicated, the nexus between poverty and corruption is indicated by the control of corruption in the economy, as ranked by the World Bank. The control of corruption in 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
Figure 1</xref>, located in the upper-left corner, shows a downward slope up to 2012. In the preceding periods, it remained constant and decreased dramatically in other periods such as 2014, 2018, and 2020. The most notable point A is explained by the changes in the government structure in South Africa, which is cited as the most corrupt in the post-apartheid regime (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref21">Georgieva and Krsteski, 2017</xref>). On the other hand, point B highlights corruption related to the abuse of state funds, such as the provisioning of food parcels and the Department of Health (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">John 2021</xref>).</p>
            <p>Poverty on the same 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
Figure 1</xref>, but on the upper-right corner, depicts a downward trend from the beginning of the period up to 2010. This trend indicates that in the post-apartheid period, all policies were like spears set to destroy poverty, especially among Black people. Following the global financial crisis, this trend started to increase slightly from 2011 to 2018. The number of people living in poverty has been equally amplified by the COVID-19 pandemic due to many factors, such as unemployment. For example, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref37">Ngubane 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2023)</xref> noted that poverty increases irrespective of whether unemployment increases or decreases, and the study was undertaken using the NARDL approach.</p>
            <p>At the bottom right of 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f3">
Figure 3</xref>, the Gini coefficient shows the degree of inequality. Before 2010, the level of inequality hovered between 0.70 and 0.80. This indicates that it took time for the post-apartheid system to reduce inequality in the SA. Prior policies, such as RDP, GEAR, and ASGISA, failed to reduce the level of inequality in the economy (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref24">Jarstad 2021</xref>). Equally important, in the post 2010 period the inequality level remained at approximately 0.60. However, in other periods, such as 2010 and 2011, inequality further decreased dramatically, but it failed to remain at a low level in the long run. This could be explained by the fact that the periods around 2010 were concentrated by high capital formation in preparation for and during the FIFA World Cup. During this period, there was ongoing labor-intensive construction, the transport industry benefited equally, and the overall tourism industry opened jobs and entrepreneurial opportunities.</p>
            <fig fig-type="figure" id="f3" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Figure 3. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Data sample of the variables.</title>
                </caption>
                <graphic id="gr3" orientation="portrait" position="float" xlink:href="https://f1000research-files.f1000.com/manuscripts/190252/9ee0ad30-66f5-4259-a668-732bf95d5f11_figure3.gif"/>
            </fig>
            <p>Most data on the unemployment rate for South Africa date from 2000 onwards; in the same year, it appears that it was hovering below 24%. This Figure looks similar to that of the second quarter of 2020 during the pandemic, which decreased to 24%, showing a promising trend. However, one questions the issue of unemployment decreasing by 5% between the first and second quarters of 2020. This leads back to the definition of the unemployment rate, which is the percentage of people aged between 15 and 64 years who are actively looking for employment and cannot find one. The important word in the previous definition is &#x201c;actively&#x201d; and it can be used to explain the unemployment in 2000 and 2020Q2. Lack of education and high concentration of black people in informal employment for unskilled and semi-skilled labor made the percentage of people who were actively looking for employment look lower in the Figure but remained very high in the population. Concerning informal employment, consider that a person looking for a survival job in rural areas, such as construction, is normally done by people considered unskilled. This type of employment is not accounted for by the formal unemployment rate.</p>
            <p>The same issue could relate to 2020Q2, where people were not allowed to move, look for jobs, or operate business. Therefore, the unemployment rate decreased because of the lockdown. However, the GDP growth decreased exponentially. Unemployment increased sharply after the lockdown, when people were allowed to move around and search for lost jobs. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref37">Ngubane 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2023)</xref> indicated that employers in South Africa are reluctant to hire, even when economic activities are in the right condition.</p>
            <p>The second part of the results briefly outlines the descriptive statistics table indicated in 
                <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1">
Table 1</xref>. It consists of measures of the central tendency, dispersion, and total number of variables. The percentage of corruption ranges from -2.5 (poor control of corruption) to +2.5 (highly effective control of corruption). The minimum and maximum values for corruption in South Africa range from -0.42 and 0.86 respectively. The highlighted values indicate that the positive values of poverty control are less than 1 and are not extreme values desired by society at large. The median value is 0.06, whereas the mean is 0.13, indicating that dealing with corruption in South Africa is not at the heart of the state. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">John (2021)</xref> indicated that the media has underreported the incidence of corruption. The standard deviation from the mean is (0.25) higher than the mean, indicating that the data were not stationary. The kurtosis of the data is Platykurtic because it is less than three, which indicates the spread of the data away from the average value or point of asymmetry.</p>
            <table-wrap id="T1" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Table 1. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Descriptive statistics table.</title>
                </caption>
                <table content-type="article-table" frame="hsides">
                    <thead>
                        <tr>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top"/>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Corruption</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Poverty</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">GINI</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">
Unemployment</th>
                        </tr>
                    </thead>
                    <tbody>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Mean</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.127543</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">38.19025</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.707962</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">25.71333</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Median</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.059472</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">36.26500</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.698832</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">24.91722</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Maximum</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.857185</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">49.47000</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.799583</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">35.22594</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Minimum</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-0.417060</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">32.52000</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.612347</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">21.03000</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Std- Dev</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.250881</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">5.309654</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.041199</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.861341</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Skewness</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.513418</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">1.197030</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.512538</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">1.319723</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Kurtosis</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.621375</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.900627</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.793140</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">5.065500</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Jarque-Bera
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">4.391743</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">21.05179</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">4.009767</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">41.18753</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Probability</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.111262</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.000027</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.134676</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.000000</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Sum</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">11.22377</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">3360.900</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">62.30067</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2262.773</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Sum Sq Dev</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">5.475906</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2452.741</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.147670</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">712.2929</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Observations</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">88</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">88</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">88</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">88</td>
                        </tr>
                    </tbody>
                </table>
            </table-wrap>
            <p>Moving to the next variable of interest, poverty spreads are skewed to the left (lower values). This is shown by the median value (36) being lower than the mean value (38) and closer to the lower end (32). However, the data according to kurtosis is mesokurtic, close to 3. This could be the case because poverty is represented by food poverty, and in SA, fewer people go to bed without food (thanks to a social security grant). Moving to the control variables, the Gini coefficient, and unemployment. The former ranged from 0 (highly equal society) to 1 (highly unequal society). Therefore, it is clear that 0.5 is moderate, but values below it are highly desirable for most economies. On the other hand values above 0.5 are not desirable; in SA, the mean is 0.71 and the median is 0.7. This means that South Africa is a highly unequal society (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">Koelble, 2022</xref>), with the majority of people remaining unemployed, social grant dependent, and living in rural areas without adequate infrastructure. The data are playtokurtic a few points away from three; however, the standard deviation is very small at 0.05, showing that most values hover around the average value.</p>
            <p>The unemployment rate mean (25), median (24), and standard deviation (2.87) do not best describe the behaviour of the data. In this case, the average value could be related to the natural rate of unemployment in South Africa and the data are equally positively skewed. However, kurtosis and skewness may be relevant to this juncture. For example, the data are leptokurtic (5) away from 3, meaning that the data are highly peaked. Society is unwilling to experience a high unemployment rate. This means that the South African democratic system, economic system, political system, technological development, and other sectors tend to favor unemployment instead of making it an enemy.</p>
            <p>The stationarity test results are shown in 
                <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2">
Table 2</xref>. It is important to trace the nature of the data used in the study and access its behaviour through an accredited pre-test. The Gini coefficient is stationary at levels because, in the descriptive statistics table, it has to mean reverting values over time. Unlike the remaining three variables (poverty, corruption, and unemployment), these were found to be stationary after taking the first difference. This is because the data for the latter variables show different trends over time, and can easily respond to shocks. However, the quantile regression employed in this study does not require the use of stationary data to perform the regression. This is an extension of simple OLS (see the methodology section).</p>
            <table-wrap id="T2" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Table 2. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Unit root test.</title>
                </caption>
                <table content-type="article-table" frame="hsides">
                    <thead>
                        <tr>
                            <th align="left" colspan="4" rowspan="1" valign="top">Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF)</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="3" rowspan="1" valign="top">Philips Perron (PP)</th>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Series</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(0)</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Order</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(0)</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">
Order</th>
                        </tr>
                    </thead>
                    <tbody>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Corr</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">1.878</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">13.633
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn1">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-2.014</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-14.306</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">
                                <italic toggle="yes">Un</italic>
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.567</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-9.865
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn1">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-2.097</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">13.015
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn1">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">
                                <italic toggle="yes">GINI</italic>
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-2.610
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn3">*</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">
                                <bold>----------</bold>
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(0)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-6.917
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn1">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">---------</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">1(0)</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">
                                <italic toggle="yes">Pov</italic>
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-2.087</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-11.16
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn1">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-2.015</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">-11.39
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn1">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">I(1)</td>
                        </tr>
                    </tbody>
                </table>
                <table-wrap-foot>
                    <p>Note:</p>
                    <fn-group content-type="footnotes">
                        <fn id="tfn1">
                            <label>***</label>
                            <p>imply 1%,</p>
                        </fn>
                        <fn id="tfn2">
                            <label>**</label>
                            <p>5%, and</p>
                        </fn>
                        <fn id="tfn3">
                            <label>*</label>
                            <p>10% significant levels.</p>
                        </fn>
                    </fn-group>
                </table-wrap-foot>
            </table-wrap>
            <p>Moving to the core results of this study. The results in 
                <xref ref-type="table" rid="T3">
Table 3</xref> were divided into three parts. The first part indicates the results at the 25
                <sup>th</sup> quantile, followed by those of the 50
                <sup>th</sup> or median quartile, and finally those of the 75
                <sup>th</sup> quantile. In the first quantile, a 1% increase in corruption led to a 0.19% increase in poverty, and the effect was statistically significant at the 5% level. Corruption undertaken by high-profile people indirectly affects those living below the food poverty line. The findings of this study are in line with those of 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref43">Rahayu (2012)</xref>, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref23">Ikharehon (2019)</xref>, and 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref45">Salahuddin 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.
</italic> (2020</xref>). However, if corruption is undertaken by local government officials, it can directly affect people living below food poverty levels. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, food parcels were issued to poor families because the R350 grant was not sufficient to afford household food (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref25">John 2021</xref>). Therefore, the distributors were only concerned with people they were close to them, such as relatives, friends, and friends. Therefore, poverty is defined as the deprivation of basic needs and a state of being voiceless or deprived of important social decisions. The same condition occurred because poor people were not represented, and nobody stood and spoke on their behalf to obtain adequate food. The Gini coefficient has a greater coefficient in all quantiles than the coefficients that represent corruption and poverty. A 1% increase in the Gini coefficient leads to a 0.22% increase in poverty; however, this effect is statistically insignificant. Equally important unemployment has an insignificant effect on poverty, as indicated by (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">Dahliah 2021</xref>). The constant term indicates that if all variables are held constant, poverty increases by 3.36% and is statistically significant. This means that poverty remains positive because of the economic structure, education, and other factors that contribute to poverty in South Africa.</p>
            <table-wrap id="T3" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Table 3. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Results of the quantile regression for quantile 25
                        <sup>th</sup>, 50
                        <sup>th</sup> and 75
                        <sup>th</sup>.</title>
                </caption>
                <table content-type="article-table" frame="hsides">
                    <thead>
                        <tr>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Variable name</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Coefficient/Std. Error</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">T-statistics
</th>
                        </tr>
                    </thead>
                    <tbody>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="3" rowspan="1" valign="top">Poverty (dependent variable) 
                                <bold>25</bold>
                                <sup>th</sup> Quantile</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Corruption</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.186071
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn5">**</xref> (0.081617)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.279796</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">GINI</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.221892 (0.300259)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.739002</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Unemployment</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.001632 (0.005720)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.285249</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Constant</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">3.355326
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn4">***</xref> (0.217132)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">11.42835</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="3" rowspan="1" valign="top">Poverty (dependent variable) 
                                <bold>50</bold>
                                <sup>

                                    <bold>th</bold>
                                </sup> quantile</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Corruption</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.294043
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn5">**</xref> (0.131461)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.236721</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">GINI</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">1.059901
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn6">*</xref> (0.131461)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">1.794928</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Unemployment</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.011013
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn4">***</xref> (0.003898)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.824884</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Constant</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.556498
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn4">***</xref> (0.437427)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">5.844406</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="3" rowspan="1" valign="top">Poverty (dependent variable) 
                                <bold>75</bold>
                                <sup>

                                    <bold>th</bold>
                                </sup> Quantile</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Corruption</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.398178
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn4">***</xref> (0.064287)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">6.193786</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">GINI</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">1.027281
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn5">**</xref> (0.443340)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.317138</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Unemployment</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.020053
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn5">**</xref> (0.008813)</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.275398</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Constant</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">2.395151
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn4">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">6.803416</td>
                        </tr>
                    </tbody>
                </table>
                <table-wrap-foot>
                    <p>Note: The figures in brackets are standard errors.</p>
                    <fn-group content-type="footnotes">
                        <fn id="tfn4">
                            <label>***</label>
                            <p>imply 1%,</p>
                        </fn>
                        <fn id="tfn5">
                            <label>**</label>
                            <p>5%, and</p>
                        </fn>
                        <fn id="tfn6">
                            <label>*</label>
                            <p>10% significant levels.</p>
                        </fn>
                    </fn-group>
                </table-wrap-foot>
            </table-wrap>
            <p>In the 50
                <sup>th</sup> quantile, all the variables are statistically significant. A 1% increase in corruption led to a 0.29% increase in poverty. This means that corruption is still harmful to people living in the lower-bound forms of poverty. People living in lower-bound poverty are those who do very low-paying jobs and equally depend on government child support or elderly grants (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref37">Ngubane, Mndebele, and Kaseeram 2023</xref>). For example, people who work for rich people perform casual work, such as gardening, cooking, and babysitting. They normally do not have formal certificates for their work, and are deprived of recognition by trade unions. Therefore, they continue to live under the employer&#x2019;s mercy for their survival. These people normally participate in saving schemes such as stokvel to purchase huge assets once a year or help one another to build modern housing. The form of corruption they experience is a lack of formal recognition, underpaid, working extra unpaid hours, denied holidays, treated unfairly, they are not respected in society, and ignored.</p>
            <p>Regarding the Gini coefficient, a 1% increase in inequality leads to a 1.03% increase in poverty. South Africa has a highly unequal economy, and inequality dominates the other variables that exacerbate poverty. In contrast to the previous example of men and women working for richer families, they remain underpaid. This scene provides a full picture of the South African reality; those who are rich have better-paying jobs with many benefits for workers and family members. On the other hand, poor domestic workers are paid less, work more hours, do more than what is required by the job description, and without benefits. 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">Koelble (2022)</xref> noted that BBBEE triggered South Africa, which is highly unequal. In this way, inequality suppressed the poor in support of the rich, which is what Blacks thought would end in the post-apartheid period. However, history repeats itself, and 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref27">Koelble (2022)</xref> argued that inequality is not racial. The unemployment rate has a lesser effect on the lower bound level of poverty (0.01%). This case does not necessarily imply the truth because the previous example of domestic workers is not taken into account when unemployment rates are calculated. Second, the data inconvenience for the low unemployment rate depicted in 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
Figure 1</xref> above, where unemployment was recorded at 24% in 2020Q2, could be the reason. Moreover, this indicates that this type of unemployment could be best described by the primary data collected by the survey. The constant term has decreased slightly because, in this case, we discuss people who are relatively exposed to the working environment.</p>
            <p>Moving to the 75
                <sup>th</sup> quantile regression results. This quantile represents people who hold value and assert that they are still living in poverty or deprived of other essentials to maintain a quality living income benchmark. A 1% increase in corruption leads to a 0.40% increase in poverty (for example, the upper bound poverty level); the results are statistically significant at the 1 percent level. The results are in line with 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref53">Yusuf 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2014)</xref>; although the results were based on causal effects and did not specify the sign, the result also relates to those obtained in previous quantiles. These results could relate to young people- exposed to some benefits like NSFAS&#x2013;who look like rich people through the clothes they wear, high-profile cell phones, and study gadgets in public figures. At the same time, the same asserts are short-lived because of frictional unemployment, which lasts longer after their studies. In addition, in the end, they remain without shelter of their own and do less-paying jobs that are unrelated to their studies (youth experience the highest unemployment rate in SA). Equally important since cultural norms are becoming less important, most young people bear the burden of having children before they finish schooling, which makes their lives much more complicated in post-study periods.</p>
            <p>Regarding inequality, a 1% increase in the Gini index leads to a 1.03% increase in poverty, and the results are statistically significant at the 5% level. The Gini index is still dominant in the upper quantile and is related to the findings of 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref28">Lakner 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> (2022)</xref>. The results could be equally related to the example of young people highlighted above. Statistics indicate that young people experience high unemployment rates in SA, which implies that they experience high inequality among themselves and other age groups. For example, the so-called &#x201c;connected people&#x201d; can get jobs after the University completion period. That is, they can be offered jobs by relatives or friends, be bribed to get employed, or have an affair with HR to find employment. This is the reason behind individuals&#x2019; resistance to reporting incidences of poverty (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref15">Clemente and Calca, 2023</xref>). These conditions are dominant because it is widely known that one can neither deny employment nor find a job easily. These people tend to get good-paying jobs, opening a wide gap between them and their unemployed counterparts. Sometimes, elderly people are important for their experience, which makes it easier for them to find and change jobs.</p>
            <p>Moving to unemployment-causing poverty, a 1% increase in unemployment leads to a 0.02% increase in poverty, and the results are statistically significant at the 5% level. These findings are consistent with those of (
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref34">Meo, 

                    <italic toggle="yes">et al.,
</italic> 2023</xref>). The small impact of unemployment on poverty might indicate that unemployment might cause poverty through other variables such as being unemployed and young, family size, and not doing any formal/informal occupation. For example, 
                <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="ref16">Dahliah (2021)</xref> confirmed that unemployment causes poverty through economic growth. Meanwhile, little influence of unemployment on poverty is depicted in the fall figures depicted in 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1">
Figure 1</xref> above by the graph of unemployment, which was 24% in the second quarter of 2020. Hence, in real life, we are fully aware that at that time, many people were not employed and yet willing to work, but were hindered by lockdown. Hence, in that period, the definition of unemployment that involved the word actively seeking employment was still active. However, the truth holds that people who are not part of the unemployment percentage are there, some are ready to work, and some are illiterate and look for jobs for unskilled labor.</p>
            <p>
                <xref ref-type="table" rid="T4">
Table 4</xref> is out of the last table in this study, and depicts the post-diagnostics tests and goodness of fit. The Pseudo R-squared increases with quantiles from 24.60 on the 25 quantile, 33.32 on the 50
                <sup>th</sup> quantile to 50.74 in the 75
                <sup>th</sup> quantile. This implies that variations up to 50% are explained by the selected dependent and control variables. This implies that other factors that influence poverty (such as gender, race, age, and others that could work in the surveyed data) were not included in the study because of the objective of the study. Equally important, the Quasi-LR-stat is 38.51 in the lower quantile, 48.28 for the middle quantile, and 93.19 for the upper quantile. All the highlighted statistics are statistically significant at the 1% level, implying goodness of fit for the overall model. A normality test was then performed. The J-B test is statistically insignificant for all quantiles, implying that the data are normally distributed across disciplines. The asymmetric plot for the first quantile is 5.03, 5.03 for the middle quantile, and 15.18 for the last quantile and is statistically significant for all quantiles. This implies that the data have a linear relationship with the variables, as established by the study. This further implies a vibration of the estimated results. The slope equity test is 69.25 for the 25
                <sup>th</sup>, 61.47 for 50
                <sup>th</sup> and 62.28 for the last quantile (75
                <sup>th</sup>), all of which are statistically significant. This indicates that the slope differs across the periods. This supports the reason behind the use of quantile regression as an extension of the simple OLS regression model.</p>
            <table-wrap id="T4" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Table 4. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Diagnostics tests and measures for goodness of fit.</title>
                </caption>
                <table content-type="article-table" frame="hsides">
                    <thead>
                        <tr>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Diagnostics tests</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">25
                                <sup>th</sup> Quantile</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Goodness of Fit</th>
                            <th align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">
25
                                <sup>th</sup> Quantile</th>
                        </tr>
                    </thead>
                    <tbody>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Asymmetric Q-test</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">15.18408</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Pseudo R-Squared</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.245992</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Jarque-Bera
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.4045</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Adjusted R-Squared</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.219064</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Slope Equity</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">69.28534
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn7">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Quasi-LR-statistics</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">38.50722
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn7">***</xref>
                            </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td colspan="1" rowspan="1"/>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">50
                                <sup>th</sup> Quantile</td>
                            <td colspan="1" rowspan="1"/>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">50
                                <sup>th</sup> Quantile</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Asymmetric Q-test</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">13.69243</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Pseudo R-Squared</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.333159</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Jarque-Bera
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.271265</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Adjusted R-Squared</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.309343</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Slope Equity</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">61.47014
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn7">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Quasi-LR-statistics</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">48.28495
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn7">***</xref>
                            </td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td colspan="1" rowspan="1"/>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">75
                                <sup>th</sup> Quantile</td>
                            <td colspan="1" rowspan="1"/>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">75
                                <sup>th</sup> Quantile</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Asymmetric Q-test</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">15.18408</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Pseudo R-Squared</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.507364</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Jarque-Bera
</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">3.160084</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Adjusted R-Squared</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">0.489770</td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Slope Equity</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">62.27924
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn7">***</xref>
                            </td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">Quasi-LR-statistics</td>
                            <td align="left" colspan="1" rowspan="1" valign="top">93.18930
                                <xref ref-type="table-fn" rid="tfn7">***</xref>
                            </td>
                        </tr>
                    </tbody>
                </table>
                <table-wrap-foot>
                    <p>Note:</p>
                    <fn-group content-type="footnotes">
                        <fn id="tfn7">
                            <label>***</label>
                            <p>imply 1%,</p>
                        </fn>
                        <fn id="tfn8">
                            <label>**</label>
                            <p>5%, and</p>
                        </fn>
                        <fn id="tfn9">
                            <label>*</label>
                            <p>10% significant levels.</p>
                        </fn>
                    </fn-group>
                </table-wrap-foot>
            </table-wrap>
            <p>The graph in 
                <xref ref-type="fig" rid="f4">
Figure 4</xref> is used to compare the results of the OLS with those of the quantile regression. The bold line should hover around the shaded region and within the two parallel dotted lines. To examine the Gini coefficients, the quantile process hovers around the two bounds indicated by parallel lines. This means that the results obtained are similar to those obtained from the simple OLS. For Corruption, the values on the lower quantile are relatively similar to those of the OLS model, but as the quantiles increase, they move to the upper and lower bounds. For unemployment rates, the small coefficients obtained indicate that both the values in the lower and upper quantiles are out of bounds.</p>
            <fig fig-type="figure" id="f4" orientation="portrait" position="float">
                <label>
Figure 4. </label>
                <caption>
                    <title>Quantile processes.</title>
                    <p>Source: Stata.</p>
                </caption>
                <graphic id="gr4" orientation="portrait" position="float" xlink:href="https://f1000research-files.f1000.com/manuscripts/190252/9ee0ad30-66f5-4259-a668-732bf95d5f11_figure4.gif"/>
            </fig>
        </sec>
        <sec id="sec12" sec-type="conclusion">
            <title>5. Conclusion</title>
            <p>This study has established a connection between corruption and poverty in South Africa and the world. The results of the quantile regression model for all quantiles confirm that corruption causes poverty (food poverty and lower- and upper-bound poverty). Based on the results, the study recommends that policymakers make corruption one of the objectives of the economy. Second, the Gini coefficients increase the level of poverty, meaning that high inequality amplifies poverty. The study recommends that policymakers target the Gini coefficient that is lower than 0.4 in the long run, to make all institutions work towards reducing inequality. Finally, these findings suggest that unemployment causes poverty. Therefore, the study argues that policymakers can regulate the use of technology while subsidizing labour-intensive sectors in the economy to absorb labour. The study was limited to the quantile regression model, and future studies can use other models, such as the moderation model, to examine the effect of one variable on other influential variables. Based on the overall results of the study, policymakers should invest in youth development concerning entrepreneurship and education and support women cooperatives and small businesses to reduce the high dependency ratio of people-to-state services and to reduce high inequality and unemployment rates.</p>
        </sec>
    </body>
    <back>
        <sec id="sec15" sec-type="data-availability">
            <title>Data availability statement</title>
            <p>Data are available: the data is secondary data that was sourced from World Bank database, and Easy data (Quantec). The data is available at: 
                <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://www.datafirst.uct.ac.za/">https://www.datafirst.uct.ac.za/</ext-link>
            </p>
        </sec>
        <ack>
            <title>Acknowledgements</title>
            <p>The authors are extremely grateful to the collective efforts of the Department of Economics, particularly Prof. I. Kaseeram, for his supervision, and Celiwe Manzini, for the dedication and assistance. In addition, the support in terms of resources and facilities provided by the Department of Economics at the University of Zululand is considerable, has made a positive contribution to the success of this research, and is highly appreciated.</p>
        </ack>
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    <sub-article article-type="reviewer-report" id="report444266">
        <front-stub>
            <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5256/f1000research.190252.r444266</article-id>
            <title-group>
                <article-title>Reviewer response for version 1</article-title>
            </title-group>
            <contrib-group>
                <contrib contrib-type="author">
                    <name>
                        <surname>Huynh</surname>
                        <given-names>Cong Minh</given-names>
                    </name>
                    <xref ref-type="aff" rid="r444266a1">1</xref>
                    <role>Referee</role>
                    <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8169-5665</uri>
                </contrib>
                <aff id="r444266a1">
                    <label>1</label>Eastern International University, Th&#x1ee7; D&#x1ea7;u M&#x1ed9;t, Thu Dau Mot City, Vietnam</aff>
            </contrib-group>
            <author-notes>
                <fn fn-type="conflict">
                    <p>
                        <bold>Competing interests: </bold>No competing interests were disclosed.</p>
                </fn>
            </author-notes>
            <pub-date pub-type="epub">
                <day>19</day>
                <month>1</month>
                <year>2026</year>
            </pub-date>
            <permissions>
                <copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x00a9; 2026 Huynh CM</copyright-statement>
                <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
                <license xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
                    <license-p>This is an open access peer review report distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</license-p>
                </license>
            </permissions>
            <related-article ext-link-type="doi" id="relatedArticleReport444266" related-article-type="peer-reviewed-article" xlink:href="10.12688/f1000research.172519.1"/>
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        </front-stub>
        <body>
            <p>
                <bold>Title: &#x201c;Effect of Corruption, Inequality, and Unemployment on Poverty in South African Perspective: Evidence from Quantile Regression Model&#x201d;</bold>
            </p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> This manuscript investigates the impact of corruption on poverty in South Africa over the period 2000&#x2013;2021, controlling for income inequality (Gini coefficient) and unemployment. Poverty is measured using food poverty data, corruption is proxied by the World Bank&#x2019;s control of corruption index, and inequality and unemployment are included as controls. The authors apply quantile regression to assess how corruption affects poverty across different points of the poverty distribution (25th, 50th, and 75th quantiles). The results suggest that corruption, inequality, and unemployment all increase poverty across quantiles, with inequality being the dominant factor. Policy recommendations emphasize anti-corruption efforts, inequality reduction, and employment creation.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> This subject is interesting. I have some constructive comments as below:</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 1. The manuscript lacks a clear, sharply defined research problem. While corruption and poverty are repeatedly described as serious issues, the paper does not clearly articulate: what exactly is unknown in the literature, why South Africa provides a theoretically distinctive or empirically challenging case, why quantile heterogeneity is essential rather than optional. Much of the introduction is descriptive, anecdotal, and historical, including long narratives on colonialism, biblical quotations, and moral commentary, which are not clearly linked to the empirical research question.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 2. The manuscript frequently shifts from analytical reasoning to normative assertions and moral judgments (e.g., claims about laziness, corruption as &#x201c;evil,&#x201d; or cultural decline). These weaken the scientific argument and obscure the causal logic. A scholarly article should explain mechanisms, not moralize outcomes.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 3. The literature review is excessively long but not really synthesized. It mixes Classical, Marxian, liberal, and political theories of poverty, ethical and philosophical discussions, empirical corruption-poverty studies; without integrating them into a coherent analytical framework. Many references are cited descriptively, with little effort to compare findings, identify consensus, or highlight contradictions.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 4. The manuscript lacks a clear conceptual framework. It does not present: a conceptual model explaining how corruption affects poverty, clear transmission channels (e.g., fiscal leakage, service delivery, labor markets), how inequality and unemployment fit theoretically (mediators? confounders? parallel channels?). As a result, the hypotheses appear post hoc rather than theory driven.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 5. Despite the extensive discussion, the paper does not clearly formulate formal hypotheses. The reader must infer expectations from the text. This weakens the logical structure and makes it difficult to assess whether the empirical results actually test the stated claims.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 6. Annual data are converted into quarterly data for corruption and poverty without sufficient justification or methodological transparency. This raises concerns about artificial data smoothing, interpolation bias, and spurious precision. The use of time-series quantile regression with a relatively short effective sample further weakens inference.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 7. The manuscript performs unit root tests, acknowledges non-stationarity, yet proceeds to estimate quantile regressions in levels while asserting that stationarity is not required. This is methodologically confusing and insufficiently justified, especially in a single-country time-series context.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 8. Corruption, inequality, and unemployment are likely endogenous to poverty. Quantile regression alone does not resolve endogeneity. No lag structure, instrumental variables, or alternative identification strategies are used. As a result, coefficient estimates may be biased, undermining the core conclusions.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 9. The interpretation of quantiles as representing distinct &#x201c;groups of people&#x201d; (e.g., lower-bound vs. upper-bound poverty) is conceptually misleading. Quantiles reflect conditional distributions, not identifiable populations. This leads to over-interpretation and sociological narratives not supported by the econometrics.</p>
            <p>Is the work clearly and accurately presented and does it cite the current literature?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>If applicable, is the statistical analysis and its interpretation appropriate?</p>
            <p>Yes</p>
            <p>Are all the source data underlying the results available to ensure full reproducibility?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>Is the study design appropriate and is the work technically sound?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>Are the conclusions drawn adequately supported by the results?</p>
            <p>Yes</p>
            <p>Are sufficient details of methods and analysis provided to allow replication by others?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>Reviewer Expertise:</p>
            <p>Development Economics, Institutional Economics, Inequality, Poverty.</p>
            <p>I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to confirm that it is of an acceptable scientific standard, however I have significant reservations, as outlined above.</p>
        </body>
    </sub-article>
    <sub-article article-type="reviewer-report" id="report448774">
        <front-stub>
            <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5256/f1000research.190252.r448774</article-id>
            <title-group>
                <article-title>Reviewer response for version 1</article-title>
            </title-group>
            <contrib-group>
                <contrib contrib-type="author">
                    <name>
                        <surname>Guritno</surname>
                        <given-names>Danur Condro</given-names>
                    </name>
                    <xref ref-type="aff" rid="r448774a1">1</xref>
                    <role>Referee</role>
                    <uri content-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6086-1553</uri>
                </contrib>
                <aff id="r448774a1">
                    <label>1</label>Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta, Central Java, Indonesia</aff>
            </contrib-group>
            <author-notes>
                <fn fn-type="conflict">
                    <p>
                        <bold>Competing interests: </bold>No competing interests were disclosed.</p>
                </fn>
            </author-notes>
            <pub-date pub-type="epub">
                <day>15</day>
                <month>1</month>
                <year>2026</year>
            </pub-date>
            <permissions>
                <copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x00a9; 2026 Guritno DC</copyright-statement>
                <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
                <license xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">
                    <license-p>This is an open access peer review report distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.</license-p>
                </license>
            </permissions>
            <related-article ext-link-type="doi" id="relatedArticleReport448774" related-article-type="peer-reviewed-article" xlink:href="10.12688/f1000research.172519.1"/>
            <custom-meta-group>
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            </custom-meta-group>
        </front-stub>
        <body>
            <p>Summary:</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> This article examines the effects of corruption, income inequality, and unemployment on poverty in South Africa using quantile regression on data from 2000&#x2013;2021. The main objective of the study is to capture the heterogeneity of the impacts of these three variables across different levels of poverty. Overall, the findings indicate that corruption and income inequality increase poverty across all quantiles, while unemployment has a relatively smaller effect, though it is statistically significant at certain quantiles.</p>
            <p> Despite the relevance of the research topic and the potential contribution of the quantile approach, the article suffers from fundamental conceptual weaknesses, particularly concerning the theoretical framework (grand theory) and the formulation of hypotheses. In its current form, these shortcomings render the study not yet scientifically sound and require substantial revision (
                <bold>major revision required</bold>).</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> Reviewer's Comments:</p>
            <p> 1. Introduction</p>
            <p> The introduction of the manuscript is overly long and tends to be normative in nature, which obscures its academic and empirical focus. Historical and normative narratives that do not directly support the empirical objectives should be streamlined to ensure a more focused research argument.</p>
            <p> In addition, the research gap is not articulated with sufficient clarity. The claim that "the literature is silent on the effect of corruption on different poverty categories" is not supported by a systematic mapping of existing studies that clearly delineates what has and has not been addressed in prior research. The article should explicitly demonstrate that most previous studies rely on mean-based estimators that assume homogeneous effects, and emphasize that heterogeneity in the determinants of poverty has received limited empirical attention, particularly through the use of quantile regression approaches.</p>
            <p> Finally, the novelty of the study remains implicit. The authors need to state explicitly whether the main contribution of the study lies in its methodological approach, the data employed, the contextual focus, or a combination of these elements.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> Is the work clearly and accurately presented? &#x2192; PARTLY. Research direction and scientific contribution have not been explicitly stated.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 2. Literature Review:</p>
            <p> The literature cited is fairly extensive and reflects the authors' familiarity with various theoretical perspectives on poverty and corruption. However, there are two fundamental weaknesses. First, the grand theory is not integrated into the empirical model, rendering the literature review largely descriptive rather than serving as a conceptual framework or elucidating the causal mechanisms underlying the model specification. Second, the absence of explicit research hypotheses constitutes a serious shortcoming in an inferential quantitative study, as it leaves the direction and purpose of the empirical testing unclear.</p>
            <p> To strengthen the article, the authors need to select a single overarching grand theory (e.g., institutional or resource theory), explicitly articulate the relationships among the variables and the differential effects across quantiles, and derive clear, testable hypotheses from this framework.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> Is the study design appropriate and technically sound? &#x2192; No. Empirical design does not start from a clear theoretical framework, and there is no hypothesis</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 3. Methodology</p>
            <p> The use of quantile regression in this study is appropriate for capturing impact heterogeneity, and the model specification is presented with a reasonable level of detail. However, several serious methodological weaknesses remain. First, there is an inconsistency in the time-series reasoning: the authors conduct unit root tests (ADF and PP) while simultaneously asserting that stationarity is not required in quantile regression. This reflects an unclear econometric stance and undermines the technical rigor of the analysis. The authors need to adopt a single, internally consistent methodological approach and clearly justify either the inclusion or the omission of stationarity testing. Second, the procedure used to convert annual data into quarterly observations is not explained. The interpolation method used should be described in detail so that it is clear and replicable. Third, the potential endogeneity between corruption and poverty is not addressed, despite the literature acknowledging a bidirectional relationship between the two. At a minimum, this issue should be explicitly acknowledged and discussed as a limitation of the study, or examined through appropriate robustness checks.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> Are sufficient details of methods provided to allow replication? &#x2192; PARTLY. Important details of the methodology are not adequately explained.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> Is the statistical analysis appropriate? &#x2192; PARTLY. Although quantile regression is conceptually sound, there are serious methodological inconsistencies.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 4. Results &amp; Discussion</p>
            <p> Although the quantile regression results are presented comprehensively and the analysis of heterogeneity across quantiles constitutes a key strength of the study, the discussion section lacks analytical depth. The article tends to reiterate the estimated coefficients and their statistical significance without developing theoretical interpretations, systematic comparisons with prior studies, or an exploration of the conceptual implications of the empirical findings. The absence of explicit research hypotheses further weakens the discussion, as the results are not framed as tests of theory. In addition, the distinction between statistical significance and economic significance is not addressed. Consequently, the discussion section needs to be substantially revised to focus on hypothesis testing, theoretical implications, and the economic meaning of the estimated coefficients, while reducing normative narratives that are not supported by the empirical evidence.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> Is the statistical analysis appropriate? &#x2192; PARTLY. Statistical interpretation is not developed into a scientific discussion</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> 5. Conclusion</p>
            <p> Concise and broadly consistent with the results; however, the discussion remains overly normative and does not differentiate implications across quantiles. Methodological limitations are not addressed candidly, particularly issues related to endogeneity, data interpolation, and the use of proxies. 
                <bold>I suggest deriving</bold> policy implications explicitly and specifically from the quantile-based results. Add a clearly articulated section on the study&#x2019;s limitations. Reiterate and clarify the theoretical contribution of the study after revising and strengthening the theoretical framework and research hypotheses.</p>
            <p> </p>
            <p> Are the conclusions supported by the results? &#x2192; PARTLY. The discussion does not bridge the results and conclusions analytically</p>
            <p>Is the work clearly and accurately presented and does it cite the current literature?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>If applicable, is the statistical analysis and its interpretation appropriate?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>Are all the source data underlying the results available to ensure full reproducibility?</p>
            <p>Yes</p>
            <p>Is the study design appropriate and is the work technically sound?</p>
            <p>No</p>
            <p>Are the conclusions drawn adequately supported by the results?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>Are sufficient details of methods and analysis provided to allow replication by others?</p>
            <p>Partly</p>
            <p>Reviewer Expertise:</p>
            <p>Institutional Economics</p>
            <p>I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to state that I do not consider it to be of an acceptable scientific standard, for reasons outlined above.</p>
        </body>
    </sub-article>
</article>
