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Research Article

The Association Between Surgical Waiting Time and Glasgow Outcome Scale–Extended (GOSE) in Traumatic Brain Injury Patients Undergoing Craniotomy at Dr. Sardjito General Hospital

[version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]
PUBLISHED 16 Dec 2025
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Abstract

Abstract*

Background

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) remains one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide, with outcomes influenced by multiple factors, including the timeliness of surgical intervention. This study aimed to investigate the association between surgical waiting time and clinical outcomes in TBI patients at Dr. Sardjito General Hospital, Yogyakarta, using the Glasgow Outcome Scale–Extended (GOSE) as the assessment tool.

Methods

This prospective cohort study included TBI patients who underwent craniotomy at Dr. Sardjito General Hospital between May and November 2024. Data were obtained from electronic medical records, and regression analysis was performed to evaluate the effect of surgical waiting time on outcomes.

Results

Among the 70 patients who met the inclusion criteria, the median age was 19 years (IQR 14.5–41) and 71.4% were male. Over half of the patients (51.4%) presented with a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) of 13–15. Based on GOSE assessment, 27.1% achieved good recovery, 27.1% upper moderate disability, 10% lower moderate disability, 21.4% upper severe disability, 5.7% lower severe disability, and 8.6% died. The median hospital stay was 10 days. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that increasing age (OR = 1.04; 95% CI: 1.00–1.09; p = 0.028) and surgical delay >17 hours from injury to craniotomy (OR = 7.94; 95% CI: 1.35–46.67; p = 0.022) were independently associated with poorer GOSE outcomes. Shorter injury-to-incision times are associated with higher GOSE scores. However, surgical waiting time alone was not significantly associated with clinical deterioration (OR = 1.58; 95% CI: 0.19–1.80; p = 0.113; median = 7 hours; ROC = 0.597; p = 0.908).

Conclusions

Craniotomy performed >17 hours after injury was associated with an increased risk of severe disability or death. In contrast, a median surgical waiting time of 7 hours showed no significant impact on GOSE outcomes.

Keywords

Traumatic Brain Injury, Surgical Waiting Time, Craniotomy, GOSE

Introduction

TBU can be categorized into two major types: primary and secondary brain injury. Primary brain injury occurs immediately following trauma, resulting in direct mechanical damage to the skull and intracranial structures. In contrast, secondary brain injury develops hours to days after the initial insult, triggered by physiological disturbances such as ischemia, reperfusion, hypoxia, and elevated intracranial pressure. These processes can disrupt cerebral metabolism and blood flow, potentially exacerbating neurological damage. Timely and appropriate therapy is therefore essential to prevent secondary injury and improve clinical outcomes. In anesthetic management, the principal objective is to ensure optimal cerebral oxygenation and perfusion pressure. The interval between injury and medical intervention plays a critical role in determining patient morbidity and mortality. The “golden hour” principle highlights that prompt intervention following trauma can significantly reduce mortality and morbidity rates. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of surgical waiting time on outcomes in patients with traumatic brain injury undergoing craniotomy.

Methods

This prospective observational cohort aimed at examining the relationship between surgical waiting time and outcomes in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients undergoing craniotomy at Dr. Sardjito General Hospital, Yogyakarta, from May to November 2024. The study protocol was approved by Medical and Health Research Ethics Committee (MHREC) of Gadjah Mada University with approval number KE/FK/0787/EC/2024. The research permit letter was obtained from the Director of Human Resources, Education, and Research of Dr. Sardjito General Hospital, with the reference number DP.04.03/D.XI.2/16115/2024. Reporting of this study follows the STROBE guidelines for observational studies.

The study included a total of 71 patients who met the inclusion criteria, selected using a whole sampling method, thereby reducing selection bias. Inclusion criteria were TBI patients managed in the emergency department and undergoing craniotomy, while patients with missing data on timing or outcome variables in their electronic medical records (EMR) were excluded. Patients with incomplete medical records or those who did not continue treatment after initial emergency management were considered lost to follow-up and were considered drop out. Study flowchart presented in Figure 1. Patient outcomes were assessed using the GOSE score as the dependent variable. GOSE was assessed by the research team using a standardized instrument. Independent variables included the waiting time from emergency department admission to craniotomy, age, sex, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) at admission, and other clinical findings such as airway status, presence of bleeding, neurological lateralization, head CT scan findings, and hemoglobin levels.

a2f41f02-b0a3-414a-9e0f-efb2b6c46a39_figure1.gif

Figure 1. Study flow chart.

To develop prediction models for the association between injury-to-admission and injury-to-incision time with GOSE outcomes, non-parametric ROC curve analyses were employed to dichotomize continuous variables, using cut-off points determined by the median, Liu’s index,1 and Youden’s index.2 Additional analyses assessed rounded cut-off values to enhance clinical applicability, and equality of ROC areas was tested to evaluate discriminatory differences across cut-offs. Variables with p < 0.250 in bivariable logistic regression were included in multivariable logistic regression to identify independent predictors of poor GOSE outcomes, with significance set at p < 0.05. All analyses were performed using STATA version 17 (StataCorp, USA).

Results

Baseline characteristics and outcomes of the subjects

This study included 272 patients with TBI admitted during the observation period. Of these, 201 patients did not undergo craniotomy, while 71 patients met the inclusion criteria. One patient was lost to follow-up. Therefore, 70 patients were included in the final analysis. Most patients were 19 years old and 71.4% were male. Based on GCS scores at admission, 51.4% of patients had a score of 13–15, indicating relatively preserved consciousness, 20% had a score of 9–12, and 28.6% had a score ≤8, reflecting more severe injury. Regarding clinical status at admission, most patients (92.9%) did not exhibit airway or breathing difficulties, whereas 32.9% were intubated. Head CT scans revealed that 35.7% of patients had cerebral edema, 62.9% demonstrated intracranial hemorrhage, and 70% presented with skull fractures. Based on the GOSE assessment, 27.1% of patients achieved good recovery, 27.1% had upper moderate disability, 10% had lower moderate disability, 21.4% had upper severe disability, 5.7% had lower severe disability, and 8.6% died. These findings are summarized in Table 1.

Table 1. Participant baseline characteristics and outcomes.

Variable Frequency (%) or Median (IQR)
Age (years)19 (14.5–41)
Gender
 Female20 (28.6)
 Male50 (71.4)
GCS on Admission
 13–1536 (51.4)
 9–1214 (20)
 ≤ 820 (28.6)
Airway and/or breathing problems on admission
 No65 (92.9)
 Yes5 (7.1)
Intubated
 No47 (67.1)
 Yes23 (32.9)
Hemorrhagic complications on admission
 No54 (77.1)
 Yes16 (22.9)
Lateralization
 No60 (85.7)
 Yes10 (14.3)
Cerebral edema on CT scan
 No45 (64.3)
 Yes25 (35.7)
Intracranial hemorrhage on CT scan
 No26 (37.1)
 Yes44 (62.9)
Skull fracture detected on CT scan
 No21 (30.0)
 Yes49 (70.0)
Hemoglobin level on admission (g/dL)11.8 (8.6–15.6)
Injury-to-admission time (hours)8.5 (1.7–42)
Admission-to-incision time (surgical waiting time) (hours)7 (1–16)
Injury-to-incision time (hours)16 (8.3–53)
Hospital length of stay (days)10 (4–28)
Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE)
 Good recovery19 (27.1)
 Upper moderate disability19 (27.1)
 Lower moderate disability7 (10)
 Upper severe disability15 (21.4)
 Lower severe disability4 (5.7)
 Death6 (8.6)

Nonparametric ROC analysis and comparison of ROC areas with the dependent variable GOSE

The analysis involved determining cutoff points for admission-to-incision time (surgical waiting time) and injury-to-incision time for craniotomy using the Liu/Youden method. Although no statistically significant differences were observed between the calculated cutoff points, the highest area under the curve (AUC) was identified at 7 hours, which was selected as the definitive cutoff for admission-to-incision time ( Table 2). For injury-to-incision time a cutoff of 17 hours was determined ( Table 2).

Table 2. Non-parametric ROC analysis and equality test of ROC areas for GOSE category* as the dependent variable against admission-to-incision time and injury-to-incision time as the independent variable.

Independent variable Method Cut-off points (hours)AUCSE 95%CI p-value
Admission-to-incision timeLiu/Youdena≤6.5; >6.50.5970.0620.476–0.7180.908
Liu/Youdenb≤7; >70.5970.0620.529–0.718
Median≤8.5; >8.50.60.0610.493–0.733
Injury-to-incision timeLitu/Youdena≤16.875; >16.8750.6770.0590.561–0.7930.335
Liu/Youdenb≤17; >170.6680.0600.551–0.785
Median≤16; >160.6550.0600.538–0.772

* Poor GOSE outcomes were defined as upper severe disability, lower severe disability, and death.

a The cutoff points of the Liu and Youden indices were identical.

b Rounded to zero decimal places.

Multivariable logistic regression of sociodemographic and clinical factors on poor GOSE outcomes

Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that age (OR = 1.04; p = 0.028) and an injury-to-incision time exceeding 17 hours (OR = 7.94; p = 0.022) were significantly associated with poor GOSE outcomes, including upper severe disability, lower severe disability, and death. In contrast, an admission-to-incision time (surgical waiting time) greater than 7 hours was not significantly associated with poor GOSE outcomes (p > 0.05) ( Table 3).

Table 3. Multivariable logistic regression of sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with poor GOSE outcomes (Moderate–Severe Disability, Severe Disability, and Death).

Variable Poor GOSE+ n (%) or Median (IQR)Unadjusted ORAdjusted OR
OR (95% CI) p-value OR (95% CI) p-value
Age (years)21 (17–53)1.03 (1.00–1.06)0.0391.04 (1.00–1.09)0.028 *
Gender
 Female7 (28.0)Ref
 Male18 (72.0)1.01 (0.34–2.99)0.981
GCS on Admission
 9–1511 (44.0)RefRef
 ≤ 814 (56.0)3.23 (1.10–9.46)0.0320.20 (0.02–2.47)0.211
Airway and/or breathing problems on admission
 No22 (88.0)Ref
 Yes3 (12.0)0.76 (0.18–3.24)0.710
Intubated
 No14 (56.0)RefRef
 Yes11 (44.0)6.44 (1.90–21.80)0.00313.65 (1.05–176.73)0.045 *
Hemorrhagic complications on admission
 No19 (76.0)Ref
 Yes6 (24.0)1.30 (0.40–4.19)0.652
Lateralization
 No19 (76.0)RefRef
 Yes6 (24.0)2.59 (0.70–9.55)0.1532.22 (0.38–12.75)0.373
Cerebral edema on CT scan
 No11 (44.0)RefRef
 Yes14 (56.0)3.23 (1.17–8.94)0.0241.74 (0.49–6.23)0.390
Intracranial hemorrhage on CT scan
 No9 (36.0)Ref
 Yes16 (64.0)1.63 (0.60–4.43)0.339
Skull fracture detected on CT scan
 No8 (32.0)Ref
 Yes17 (68.0)0.93 (0.33–2.65)0.892
Hemoglobin level on admission (g/dL)11.8 (11.0–14.6)1.13 (0.89–1.44)0.311
Admission room
 General ward/Intensive Care Unit (ICU)7 (28.0)Ref
 Operating room18 (72.0)0.91 (0.30–2.71)0.862
Admission-to-incision time (surgical waiting time)
 ≤7 hours12 (40.0)Ref
 >7 hours13 (60.0)1.58 (0.19–1.80)0.113
Injury-to-incision time (hours)
 ≤17 hours9 (36.0)RefRef
 >17 hours16 (64.0)4.06 (1.45–11.38)0.0087.94 (1.35–46.67)0.022 *

+ Poor GOSE: The dependent variable category including upper severe disability, lower severe disability, and death.

* p < 0.05.

Discussion

To date, there are very few studies in Indonesia examining the interval between emergency department admission and craniotomy, as well as its impact on patient outcomes, particularly with respect to the GOSE score. This study aimed to identify factors contributing to delays in the management of TBI patients, both during the pre-hospital phase and throughout hospital care. The study was conducted at Dr. Sardjito General Hospital, a type A referral center that manages severe trauma cases, particularly TBI. The findings are expected to provide insights into the effectiveness of referral systems, the readiness of healthcare facilities, and the efficiency of medical transport involved in the emergency management of traumatic brain injury.

Challenges in comparing time intervals across studies

Comparing the interval from admission to craniotomy incision across studies presents several challenges. These include differences in healthcare systems, infrastructure, and triage protocols implemented in different countries. For instance, the availability of emergency facilities and referral systems can significantly influence patient management times. Variations in the methods used to measure time intervals also pose challenges, as the time of injury may be determined from patient reports, accident witnesses, medical records, or ambulance documentation. Additionally, external factors such as geographic conditions, traffic congestion, and local health policies contribute to the observed differences in time intervals.

In the present study, the median of injury-to-admission time was 8.5 hours. The median of admission-to-incision time (surgical waiting time) was 7 hours and median of injury-to-incision time was 16 hours. These durations are longer than those reported in a similar study in New Zealand, where the injury-to-admission time was 7 hours and the injury-to-incision time was 7.5 hours.3 Surgical waiting times in this study were also longer compared to a study in the United Kingdom, which reported a median duration of 6.7 hours.4 These differences highlight the need to improve pre-hospital triage systems and referral efficiency. In a study conducted in Malaysia,5 the median door-to-skin time was 605 minutes (10 hours), with an interquartile range of 494–766 minutes. At hospital discharge, 68.2% of patients had poor outcomes; this proportion decreased to 37.7% at six months. Factors such as polytrauma, episodes of hypotension, mechanical ventilation, severe TBI, and door-to-skin time were associated with adverse outcomes.

Effect of surgical waiting time on GOSE

The interval from injury to neurosurgical intervention has a significant impact on patients’ neurological outcomes. According to the Brain Trauma Foundation in the United States, a four-hour window is considered the optimal threshold for surgical intervention.6 In Europe, guidelines emphasize the importance of rapid referral and transfer to neurosurgical centers to improve patient outcomes.7 Multiple studies have demonstrated that earlier intervention is associated with better prognosis, particularly in terms of neurological recovery.8,9 Although the findings of the present study did not reach strong statistical significance in multivariable regression analysis, longer intervals from injury to incision were associated with poorer GOSE outcomes, consistent with prior research.10

Factors affecting patients’ GOSE outcomes

This study also demonstrated that increasing age was associated with poorer GOSE outcomes, consistent with previous findings.11,12 In elderly patients, physiological factors such as brain atrophy and impaired neuroplasticity increase vulnerability to brain injury and worsen functional recovery.13,14 Systemic comorbidities, including hypertension and diabetes, further influence the prognosis in older adults.15 Additionally, this study found that patients who were intubated in the emergency department had a higher risk of poor GOSE outcomes, likely reflecting more severe clinical conditions upon arrival at the referral hospital.16,17

This study is limited by its single-center design, which may reduce generalizability to other healthcare settings. The relatively small sample size may have limited statistical power to detect associations between surgical waiting time and GOSE outcomes. Time intervals such as injury-to-admission were partly based on patient or witness reports and medical records, which could introduce measurement bias. Unmeasured confounding factors, including injury severity, pre-hospital care, and intraoperative management, may also have influenced outcomes. Follow-up was limited to hospital discharge, preventing assessment of long-term recovery.

Future studies should involve multicenter cohorts with larger sample sizes and standardized time recording to reduce bias. Long-term follow-up is needed to evaluate functional outcomes beyond hospital discharge. Investigating interactions between surgical timing, injury severity, comorbidities, and pre-hospital interventions could inform predictive models to optimize emergency neurosurgical care and patient outcomes.

Conclusions

Craniotomy performed more than 17 hours after injury was associated with an increased risk of severe disability or death. A median surgical waiting time of 7 hours was not significantly associated with GOSE outcomes. Age was also a significant factor, with older patients exhibiting a higher risk of poor outcomes. Although surgical waiting time did not show a significant association with clinical deterioration, expedited intervention remains a critical factor in improving the prognosis of patients with traumatic brain injury.

Ethical considerations

This study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Medical and Health Research Ethics Committee of Dr. Sardjito General Hospital (ethical clearance number: KE/FK/0787/EC/2024). Written informed consent was obtained from all participants or their legally authorized representatives prior to enrollment in the study. The authors are prepared to provide signed consent forms upon request.

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Sudadi S, Nugroho FA and Deviatika FE. The Association Between Surgical Waiting Time and Glasgow Outcome Scale–Extended (GOSE) in Traumatic Brain Injury Patients Undergoing Craniotomy at Dr. Sardjito General Hospital [version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]. F1000Research 2025, 14:1405 (https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.170040.1)
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