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Research Article

Mathematical and Statistical Properties for a New IDNAI Distribution[a]

[version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]
PUBLISHED 03 Feb 2026
Author details Author details
OPEN PEER REVIEW
REVIEWER STATUS AWAITING PEER REVIEW

This article is included in the Fallujah Multidisciplinary Science and Innovation gateway.

Abstract

Over the past decade, the statistical and reliability literature has seen an enormous rise in the number of various probability distributions. Many of them are designed to integrate, enhance, or add to traditional models. This rise shows that people are becoming more aware of empirical integrity, flexibility, and adaptability, especially when it comes to modeling income distributions, dependability difficulties, and longevity statistics. In this paper, more general and flexible distributions are provided by employing a technique that generates the T−R {Y} family distributions as well as a brief overview for this kind of family. This technique may be applied to agree with certain data distribution types, including very left, right, thin or heavy tailed distribution, or to develop new distributions that are very applicable and flexible. In this context, produces a distinct member of a new sub-family called the IDNAI distribution, which is referred to the Lomax–Rayleigh {Exponential} distribution. The most important statistical and mathematical characteristics of the new family distribution are discussed. In order to estimate the parameters of the new class distribution, two estimation techniques will be additionally presented: the maximum likelihood method (MLE) and the least square method (LS). In order to analyze the effectiveness of suggested estimation techniques, simulation tools have been constructed. The results of the comparison indicated that the maximum likelihood method performed better than the least squares approach in terms of bias and mean squared error criteria. However, the application of a real dataset showed that, depending on several kinds of information criteria, the new class distribution fit the data more effectively than the specific classical and moderate distributions.

Keywords

Transformed-transformer family, Quantile function, Statistical properties, Entropies, Estimation Methods, Monte Carlo simulation and Fitting real data.

1-Introduction

Statistical modeling is significant compared to other aspects of life, especially in probability theory, which is commonly used to identify variation and make inferences from observable data. Several new generalized distributions have been created and have developed in significance during the past few decades. Developing these distributions was based mostly on the notion that they had more parameters. The data in every part of life is being modeled by a number of extensions of conventional statistical models. Flexible statistical models are still needed in many practical domains to better fit the data, and they usually have significant levels of skewness and kurtosis. Probability theory has developed more quickly because it may be applied to many different aspects of life (such as engineering sciences, survival, and actuarial sciences). Every new breakthrough broadens the scope of the probability theory’s effect.

Most new distributions are created using modern techniques, even if researchers are currently looking into the techniques used for creating new distributions since 1980; see for example Refs. 110.

The transformed-transformer technique, created by Alzaatreh et al.,11 will be employed in this study among the more current approaches. In order to obtain the distribution function of a new class of distributions, they transformed additional variable through (-∞, ∞) using the density and distribution functions of a r.v. X with r(t) and R(t) , respectively.

(1)
G(x)=cZ(F(x))r(t)dt=R{Z(F(X))}

Where Z(F(X)) belong to [c,d] is monotone increasing, Ź(F(X)) less than infinity, limxZ(F(X))=c and limxZ(F(X))=d , with the following matching pdf

(2)
g(x)=Z´(F(X))r{Z(F(X))}

The transformed-transformer technique has been used in a number of studies, see for instance, Refs. 12, 13, and 14.

By using quantile function of additional r. v. Y, in relations of F(x) instead of the function, Z(F(x)), a novel family of distributions was created by Aljarrah et al.15; which gave the TX{Y} distribution class.

(3)
G(x)=cQY(F(x))r(t)dt=R{QY(F(X))}

When F(x) equal to λ and p(y) greater than 0 for all y in neighborhood of Qy (λ), such that 0 < λ < 1, this implies that Q´ Y (λ) less than infinity and it is equivalent to P [Qy (λ)]−1.

Therefore, the related pdf of G(x) is

(4)
g(x)=f(x)p{QY(F(x))}.r[QY(F(x))]

Assume T, R, and Y denote random variables with quantile functions QT(p), QR(p), and QY(p), respectively; suppose that their cdfs are FT(x), FR(x) and FY(x), and their density functions, which is represented as fT(x), fR(x) and fY(x) respectively, with T, Y∈[c, d], and R∈[e, f] for -∞ < c < d < ∞ and -∞ < e < f < ∞.

Afterward, the distribution function of the novel class is provided as

(5)
FX(x)=cQY(FR(x))fT(t)dt=FT{QY(FR(x))}

With the associated pdf as

(6)
fX(x)=fR(x).Q´Y(FR(x)).fT{QY(FR(x))}=fR(x)fT(QY(FR(x)))/fY(QY(FR(x))).

In 2021, Ibeh et al.16; introduce new Weibull -Exponential {Rayleigh} distribution based the idea of T-X {Y} family distribution.

A contemporary statistical technique that provides an adaptable framework for producing novel probability distributions beyond the constraints of traditional models is the Transformed-Transformer (T-X) Family method, which is based on the quantile function. By fusing the quantile function of a generator distribution with the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a base distribution, this method allows for the creation of personalized statistical models with exact control over shape properties like sleekness, kurtosis, and tail behavior. Its importance stems from its capacity to precisely depict non-standard data, offer direct control over the form of the resulting distribution, and support risk analysis and simulation. This approach is a potent tool for academics and applied statisticians since it has proven successful in a variety of domains, such as industrial engineering, medical statistics, financial modeling, and environmental sciences.

This work aims to present and examine the key mathematical and statistical features of a novel sub-family known as the IDNAI distribution, expressive of the Lomax–Rayleigh {Exponential} distribution.

The following is the structure of the other sections in this article. The Lomax-Rayleigh {Exponential} distribution, which we shall refer to as the IDNAI distribution, is created in Subsection 2-1. Most of the distribution’s characteristics are analyzed and shown in Subsection 2-2. The suggested estimation techniques for the parameters of the IDNAI distribution are discussed in Subsection 2-3. Subsection 2-4 presents the comparison of the estimators with the Monty Carlo simulation study. In Subsection 2-5, the data set’s applicability and fitting real-world dataset are demonstrated. The results are presented in Section 3. Section 4 provides the discussion of the results. Section 5 presents the summary and conclusions of the paper.

2- Methods

2-1 Creating a novel IDNAI distribution

Assume a random variable T with the Lomax distribution, including parameter (λ), in addition to cdf, pdf and quantile function which are provided as

(7)
FT(x;λ)=1(1+X)λ
(8)
fT(x;λ)=λ(1+X)(λ+1)
(9)
QT(p)=[(1P)1/λ1]

Where λ > 0, x > 0, 0 < P < 1.

In the same way, let a random variable R follow the Rayleigh distribution with parameter α as well as the distribution function, probability density function and quantile function of R, are respectively given as

(10)
FR(x;α)=1exp(αx2)
(11)
fR(x;α)=×exp(αx2)
(12)
QR(p)={(ln(1p))/α}1/2

Where α > 0, x > 0, 0 < P < 1.

Moreover, suppose that a random variable Y follows the Exponential distribution with the parameter β, then the cdf, pdf and quantile function are provided as

(13)
FY(x)=1exp(x/β)
(14)
fY(x)=(1/β)exp(x/β)
(15)
QY(p)=βlog(1p)

Where, β > 0, x > 0, 0 < P < 1.

Equation (10), together with Equation (15), gives us

QY(FR(x))=βlog(1(1exp(αx2)))=αβX2

Consequently, based on Equation (7) we obtain

FT(QY(FR(x)))=1(1+αβX2)λ

Hence, the cdf of the Lomax-Rayleigh {exponential} distribution or IDNAI distribution is s provided by

(16)
FIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=1(1+αβX2)λforx>0andα,β,λ>0

Henceforward, from (8) we get

(17)
fT(QY(FR(x)))=λ(1+αβX2)(λ+1)

Subsequently, from Equation (14), we obtained

(18)
FY(QY(FR(x)))=(1/β)exp(αβX2/β)FY(QY(FR(x)))=(1/β)exp(αX2)

When Equations (11), (17) and (18) are substituted into Equation (6), the matching IDNAI distribution pdf is obtained as

fX(x)=fIDNAI(x)=[×exp(αx2)][λ(1+αβx2)(λ+1)]/[(1/β)exp(αx2)],

Accordingly,

(19)
fIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=(2αβλ)×(1+αβX2)(λ+1)forx>0andα,β,λ>0

We deduce that the new class IDNAI distribution’s cdf and pdf with three parameters (α,β,λ) are provided by Equations (16) and (19), respectively.

Additionally, based on Equation (16), the IDNAI distribution’s reliability function will be

(20)
RIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=(1+αβx2)λforx>0andα,β,λ>0

2-2 Properties of the IDNAI distribution

Furthermost, some fundamental statistical and mathematical characteristics of the IDNAI distribution are presented in this section, as follows:

2-2-1 Additional probability functions of IDNAI distribution

In addition to the three previously discussed functions in Equations (16), (19) and (20), we introduce the majority of probability functions in this section.

  • a- Hazard function of IDNAI distribution hIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)

    (21)
    hIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=f(x;α,β,λ)/R(x;α,β,λ)forx>0andα,β,λ>0hIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=(2αβλ)(x)/(1+αβx2)forx>0andα,β,λ>0

  • b- Cumulative hazard function of IDNAI distribution HIDNAI (x; α,β,λ)

    (22)
    HIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=λLn(1+αβx2)forx>0andα,β,λ>0

  • c- Reverse Hazard Function of IDNAI distribution ФIDNAI (x; α,β,λ)

    (23)
    ФIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=f(x;α,β,λ)/F(x;α,β,λ)ФIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=[(2αβλ)×(1+αβx2)(λ+1)]/[1(1+αβx2)λ],forx>0andα,β,λ>0

  • d- Odd Function of IDNAI distribution ʘ IDNAI (x; α,β,λ)

    (24)
    ΘIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=F(x;α,β,λ)/R(x;α,β,λ)ΘIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=(1+αβx2)λ1forx>0andα,β,λ>0

2-2-2 The quantile function of IDNAI distribution

The qth quantile function of the IDNAI distribution may be found as

(25)
F(x)=1(1+αβX2)λ=q;(0<q<1)xq={[(1q)1/λ1]/αβ}1/2

Consequently, the median (xmed) of the IDNAI distribution may be found by setting q = 0.5 as

(26)
xmed={[21/λ1]/αβ}1/2

2-2-3 The mode of IDNAI distribution

The mode of the IDNAI distribution can be calculated as follows

(27)
f(x;α,β,λ)=(2αβλ)×(1+αβX2)(λ+1)Lnf(x;α,β,λ)=Ln(2αβλ)+LnX(λ+1)Ln(1+αβX2)Lnf(x;α,β,λ)x=01x(λ+1)(2αβx)(1+αβx2)=0(λ+1)(2αβx2)(1+αβx2)=1(λ+1)2αβ1x2+αβ=11x2=(2αβ)(λ+1)αβx2=1(2αβ)(λ+1)αβxmode=[αβ(2λ+1]1/2

2-2-4 Limit of the pdf and cdf of IDNAI distribution

  • a- The Limit of pdf f(x;α;β;λ)

1-

(28)
limx0f(x;α;β;λ)=limx0(2αβλ)×(1+αβX2)(λ+1)=(2αβλ)limx0xlimx0(1+αβX2)(λ+1)limx0f(x;α;β;λ)=(2αβλ)01limx0f(x;α;β;λ)=0.

2-

(29)
limxf(x;α;β;λ)=limx(2αβλ)×(1+αβX2)(λ+1)=(2αβλ)limxx(1+αβx2)(λ+1)=(2αβλ)limxx(x2)(λ+1)(1+αβx2)(λ+1)(x2)(λ+1)=(2αβλ)limx1(x2)(λ+12)(1x2+αβ)(λ+1)=(2αβλ)1(1+αβ)(λ+1)=(2αβλ)0(0+αβ)(λ+1)=0limxf(x;α;β;λ)=0.
  • b- The Limit of cdf F(x;α;β;λ)

1-

(30)
limx0F(x;α;β;λ)=limx0[1(1+αβx2)λ]=1(1+0)λ=0limx0F(x;α;β;λ)=0.

2-

(31)
limxF(x;α;β;λ)=limx[1(1+αβx2)λ]=limx[11(1+αβx2)λ]=11=10=1limxF(x;α;β;λ)=1.

2-2-5 Moments

In this section, we present the rth moments about origin and the rth moments about mean for IDNAI distribution

  • a- The rth moments about origin

    E(xr)=0xr(2αβλ)×(1+αβX2)(λ+1)dx=(2αβλ)0xr+1(1+αβX2)(λ+1)dx
    Puty=αβX20<y<x=(yαβ)12dx=(12)(αβy)12
    (32)
    E(xr)=λ(αβ)r20yr2(1+y)(λ+1)dy=(αβ)r20y(r2+1)1(1+y)(r2+1)[(r2+1)+(λ+1)]dy=λ(αβ)r20y(r2+1)1(1+y)(r2+1)(λr2)dy=λ(αβ)r2.B(r2+1,λr2),B(.,.)refer to Beta typeIIdistribution=λ(αβ)r2Γ(r2+1)Γ(λr2)Γ(λ+1)E(Xr)=(1αβ)r2(r2)Γ(r2)Γ(λr2)Γ(λ)

  • b- The rth moments about mean μ

    E(Xμ)r=0(xμ)rf(x;ϑ¯)dx,ϑ¯=(α,β,λ)=0i=0r(ri)(1)iμi(Xri)f(x;ϑ¯)dx=i=0r(ri)(1)iμi0(Xri)f(x;ϑ¯)dx=i=0r(ri)(1)iμiE(Xri),from(a)above we get
    (33)
    E(Xμ)r=i=0r(ri)(1)iμi(1αβ)ri2(ri2)Γ(ri2)Γ(λri2)Γ(λ)

2-2-6 Moment generating function M X(t)

It is simple to describe the moment generating function (MGF) of the IDNAI distribution as

(34)
MX(t)=E(etx)=0etxf(x;ϑ¯)dx=0i=0(tx)ii!f(x;ϑ¯)dx=i=0tii!0xif(x;ϑ¯)dx,=i=0tii!E(xi),from(a)above we get=i=0(tii!)(1αβ)i2(i2)Γ(i2)Γ(λi2)Γ(λ)

2-2-7 Characteristic function Ф X(t)

The characteristic function of the IDNAI distribution can be found as

(35)
ФX(t)=E(eitx),i=1=0eitxf(x;ϑ¯)dx=0r=0(itx)rr!f(x;ϑ¯)dx=r=0(it)rr!0xrf(x;ϑ¯)dx=r=0(it)rr!E(xr),from(a)above we get=r=0(it)rr!(1αβ)r2(r2)Γ(r2)Γ(λr2)Γ(λ)

2-2-8 Factorial generating function З X(t)

One may determine the factorial generating function of the IDNAI distribution as follows

(36)
ЗX(t)=E(tx)=0txf(x;ϑ¯)dx=0exlntf(x;ϑ¯)dx=0r=0(xlnt)rr!f(x;ϑ¯)dx=r=0(lnt)rr!0xrf(x;ϑ¯)dx=r=0(lnt)rr!E(xr),from(a)above we get=r=0(lnt)rr!(1αβ)r2(r2)Γ(r2)Γ(λr2)Γ(λ)

2-2-9 Coefficients

From sub-sections 2-2-5, we infer the following conclusions. This section lists the IDNAI distribution’s Skewness, Kurtosis, and Variation coefficients.

  • a- Coefficient of Skewness (C.S.)

    The definition of the skewness coefficient (C.S.) is as follows

    C.S.={E(Xμ)3/[E(Xμ)2]3/2}

Thus, skewness coefficient for the IDNAI distribution will be

(37)
C.S.={[i=03(3i)(1)iμi(1αβ)3i2(3i2)Γ(3i2)Γ(λ3i2)/Γ(λ)]/[i=02(2i)(1)iμi(1αβ)2i2(2i2)Γ(2i2)Γ(λ2i2)/Γ(λ)]3/2}
  • b- Coefficient of Kurtosis (C.K.)

The Kurtosis coefficient (C.K.) is defined as follows.

C.K.={E(Xμ)4/[E(Xμ)2]2}

Thus, Kurtosis coefficient for the IDNAI distribution will be

(38)
C.K.={[i=04(4i)(1)iμi(1αβ)4i2(4i2)Γ(4i2)Γ(λ4i2)/Γ(λ)]/[i=02(2i)(1)iμi(1αβ)2i2(2i2)Γ(2i2)Γ(λ2i2)/Γ(λ)]2}.
  • c- Coefficient of Variation (C.V.)

The Variation coefficient (C.V.) is defined as follows.

C.V. = {[E(X-μ)2]1/2/E(X)}

Consequently, the IDNAI distribution’s variation coefficient will be

(39)
C.V.={[i=02(2i)(1)iμi(1αβ)2i2(2i2)Γ(2i2)Γ(λ2i2)/Γ(λ)]1/2/[(1αβ)12(12)Γ(12)Γ(λ12)/Γ(λ)]}.

2-2-10 Probability density functions of order statistic (O.S.)

Let x1,x2, …, xn be a random sample of size n from IDANI distribution with cdf F(x; ϑ_ ) and pdf f(x; ϑ_ ), where ϑ_ = (α,β,λ). Let y1< y2 < … < yn denote to order statistic for this sample. Then the probability density function of yr (r =1, 2, …, n) is given by f (yr) = ( 1B(r;nr+1) )= f(x;ϑ_)[F(x)]r1[1F(x)]nr , for (1 < r < n), hence we get

a-

(40)
f(yr)=(1B(r;nr+1))(2αβλ)(yr)(1+αβyr2)(λ+1)[1(1+αβyr2)λ]r1[(1+αβyr2)λ]nr=(1B(r;nr+1))(2αβλ)(yr)(1+αβyr2)λ1+i=0r1(r1i)(1)i(1+αβyi2)=(1B(r;nr+1))(2αβλ)(yr)i=0r1(r1i)(1)i(1+αβyr2)λ1+f(yr)=(1B(r;nr+1))(2αβλ)(yr)i=0r1(r1i)(1)i(1+αβyr2)[(1+n+ir)λ+1,for(1<r<n).

b-

(41)
f(y1)=nf(x;ϑ¯)[1F(x)]n1f(y1)=2nαβλy1(1+αβy12)(+1)

According to this, y1~IDNAI (α,β,nλ)

c-

(42)
f(yn)=nf(x;ϑ¯)[1F(x)]n1=n(2αβλ)(yn)(1+αβyn2)(λ+1)[1(1+αβyn2)λ]n1=n(2αβλ)(yn)(1+αβyn2)(λ+1)i=0n1(n1i)(1)i(1+αβyn2)[(1+i)λ+1]=2nαβλyni=0n1(n1i)(1)i(1+αβyn2)[(1+i)λ+1]

2-2-11 Cumulative distribution function of order statistic (O.S.)

This section presents the order statistic’s cumulative distribution.

The common formula for the cdf of order statistic is

(43)
Fi(t)=k=in(nk)[F(t)]k[1F(t)]nk

Consequently,

F(yr)=j=rn(nj)[1(1+αβyr2)λ]j[(1+αβyr2)λ]nj=j=rn(nj)(1+αβyr2)λ(nj)i=0j(ji)(1)i[(1+αβyr2)λ]i=j=rni=0j(nj)(ji)(1)i(1+αβyr2)λ(nj+i)=j=rni=0j(nj)(ji)(1)ik=0(1)k(λ(nj+i)+k1k)(αβyr2)k

Hence, the cumulative distribution function of rth order statistic will be

(44)
F(yr)=k=0J=rni=0j(nj)(ji)(λ(nj+i)+k1k)(1)i+k(αβyr2)k,αβyr2<1

2-2-12 Mean time to failure (death); MTTF

In this section, we introduce the mean time to failure (death)

MTTF=0R(x;ϑ¯)dx;R(x;ϑ¯)=(1+αβx2)λrefer to reliability function of IDNAI distribution=0(1+αβx2)λdx
Puty=αβX20<y<x=(yαβ)12dx=(12)(αβy)12dy
(45)
MTTF=(12)(αβ)120(1+y)λ(y)12dy=(12)(αβ)120(y)(12+1)1(1+y)λdy=(12)(αβ)120(y)(12+1)1(1+y)λdy=(12)(αβ)120(y)(12+1)1(1+y)12(λ12)dy=(12)(αβ)12Γ(12)Γ(λ12)Γ(λ)=(1αβ)12(12)Γ(12)Γ(λ12)Γ(λ)

It was observed that; Γ(1/2) = π

2-2-13 The Average failure rate (AFR)

  • a- The Average failure rate over time (0, t)

    (46)
    AFR(0,t)=L(t)=H(t)t=λLn(1+αβt2)t

  • b- The Average failure rate over time ( t1 , t2 )

    (47)
    AFR(t1,t2)=1t2t1H(u)]t1t2=λ[Ln(1+αβt22)Ln(1+αβt12)]t2t1

2-2-14 Self-reproducing property

let y1< y2 < … < yn denote to order statistic for the sample x1,x2, …, xn of size n from IDNAI distribution with pdf and cdf defined in Equations (16) and (19).

According to Equation (41) in property 10, the pdf of y1 is; f(y1) =2nαβλ y1 (1+ αβ y12)- (n λ+1)

It is clear that y1 follows IDNAI distribution with parameters(α,β,) . As a result, the self-reproducing property is satisfied by the IDNAI distribution.

2-2-15 Entropies

We present several uncertainty measurements, such as Shannon and Rényi entropies, that may be employed to measure the total amount of data in the system.

  • a- Shannon Entropy SHIDNAI(x)

Shannon’s entropy has been used in many technical fields, such as physics and economics.

According to Shannon’s 1948 formulation, the entropy of a random variable X with density function f(x) is16

ηx=E{ln[f(X)]};.

The Shannon entropy for T-R {Y) family distribution was defined as below.17

SHIDNA(x)=SHlomax(x)+E(ln(fY(T)))E((ln(fR(X))).

Additionally, as was previously indicated; T~ Lomax (λ); R~ Rayleigh(α) and Y~ Exponential (β).

Where, the Shannon entropy of T is known as18

(48)
SHlomax(x)=1/λ+ln(1/λ)+1
ln(fY(T))=ln(1/β)(T/β)E(ln(fY(T)))=ln(1/β)(1/β)μTln(fR(X))=ln(2α)+ln(x)αx2E((ln(fR(X))))=ln(2α)+E(ln(x))αE(X2),E(X2)=1αE(ln(x))=0ln(x)(2αxeαx2)dx=2α0xeαx2ln(x)dx
Recall;0xmesxbln(x)dx=Γ(a)b2sa[ψ(a)ln(s)].
E(ln(x))=2α[Γ(1)4α(ψ(1)ln(α)]=12[ψ(1)ln(α)]

Hence, Shannon entropy of IDNAI distribution will be as follow

(49)
SHIDNA(x)=[1/λ+ln(1/λ)+1]+ln(1/β)(1/β)μTln()(1/2)[ψ(1)ln(α)]1

Where, μT is the mean of the random variable T.

  • b- Rényi Entropy REIDNAI(x)

The measure of uncertainty of a random variable X follows IDNAI distribution is determined by its entropy. The Rényi entropy is defined as follows19:

REIDNAI(θ)=(11θ)Ln{0[f(x;α;β;λ)]θ]dx.
fIDNAI(x;α,β,λ)=(2αβλ)×(1+αβX2)(λ+1)
0[f(x;α,β,λ)]θdx=(2αβλ)θ0xθ(1+αβX2)θ(λ+1)dx
Puty=αβX20<y<x=(yαβ)12dx=(12)(αβy)12dy
0[f(x;α,β,λ)]θdx=(2αβλ)θ0(yαβ)θ2(1+y)θ(λ+1)(12)(αβλ)12dy=(2αβλ)θ(12)(αβ)12(αβ)θ20yθ12(1+y)θ(λ+1)dy=2θ1(αβ)θ21λθ0yθ+121(1+y)θ+12[θ+12+θ(λ+1)]dy=2θ1(αβ)θ22λθB(θ+12,θ+12+θ(λ+1)),=2θ1(αβ)θ12λθB(θ+12,θ(λ+12)12)

Consequently, The Rényi entropy IDNAI distribution will be as follows

(50)
REIDNAI(θ)=(11θ){Ln[2θ1(αβ)θ12λθ]+Ln[B(θ+12,θ(λ+12)12)]}

2-3 Estimation methods for the parameters of IDNAI distribution

In this section, we present two estimation methods for estimate the parameters of IDNAI(α,β,λ)distribution

2-3-1 Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE)

Because of its invariance property, the Maximum Likelihood is one of the most important estimation techniques. We look at estimating the unknown parameters of the IDNAI (α,β,λ) distribution using a maximum likelihood function.

Let x1,x2, …. xn be observed values of a random sample of size n from the IDNAI(α,β,λ)distribution .

The pdf of IDNAI(α,β,λ) distribution is as below;

f(x;α,β,λ)=(2αβλ)(x)(1+αβx2)(λ+1):x,α,β,λ>0.

The likelihood function with the vector ϑ = (α, β, λ) of parameters can be written as:

L(xi;α,β,λ)=i=1nf(x;α,β,λ)=(2αβλ)ni=1nxii=1n(1+αβxi2)(λ+1)

The log likelihood function will be

LnL(xi;α,β,λ)=nLn+nLnα+nLnβ+nLnλ+i=1nLnxi(λ+1)i=1nLn(1+αβxi2)

The log likelihood function with respect to α, β, and λ is derived as follows:

(51)
∂LnL(xi;α,β,λ)∂α=nα(λ+1)i=1nβxi2(1+αβxi2)
(52)
∂LnL(xi;α,β,λ)∂β=nβ(λ+1)i=1nαxi2(1+αβxi2)
(53)
∂LnL(xi;α,β,λ)∂λ=nλi=1nLn(1+αβxi2)

Setting the above nonlinear equations to zero and solve them using Newton-Raphson method, the maximum likelihood estimates of the three parameters α̂ , β̂ and λ̂ were obtained.

2-3-2 Least Squared Estimator (LS)

In this subsection, we discuss the estimator of Least Squares method. This method used for many mathematical and engineering application.20

The main idea for this method is to minimize the sum of square error between the values and the expected value.

To find the estimation of the three parameter of IDNAI(α,β,λ)distribution via mentioned least squares method, let: x1, x2, …. xn be observed values of a random sample of size n from the IDNAI(α,β,λ)distribution , and

(54)
S=i=1n[F(xi)E(F(xi))]2

Where, F(xi) refers to the CDF of IDNAI(α,β,λ)distribution which is defined as follows:

F(x;α,β,λ)=1(1+αβx2)λforx>0andα,β,λ>0

And, E(F(xi)) = Pi , Pi = in+1 , i =1,2,..,n.

Derive S w.r.t. α,βandλ , we obtained the following three nonlinear equations respectively

(55)
∂S∂α=2βλi=1n{(1pi)xi2(1+αβxi2)(λ+1)xi2(1+αβxi2)(2λ+1)}
(56)
∂S∂β=2αλi=1n{(1pi)xi2(1+αβxi2)(λ+1)xi2(1+αβxi2)(2λ+1)}
(57)
∂S∂λ=2i=1n{(1pi)(1+αβxi2)λlog(1+αβxi2)(1+αβxi2)2λlog(1+αβxi2)}

Setting the above nonlinear equations to zero and solve them using Newton-Raphson method, the Least Squares estimates of the three parameters α̂ , β̂ and λ̂ will be obtained.

2-4 Comparison of estimators

The simulation study will be advanced to show estimators’ behaviour of parameters by suggested two mentioned estimation methods and then compare results using the two statistical criteria bias and mean squared error (MSE). The simulation study is repeated (1000) times to obtain independent samples of different sizes.

2-4-1 Generating random variables

Let U be a random variable with a Uniform distribution on the interval (0,1). The data for the IDNAI distribution can be generated using the inverse transformation method for the cumulative distribution function (CDF), where if21:

F(xi;α,β,λ)=1(1+αβxi2)λUi=1(1+αβxi2)λ

Then xi = F(xi;α,β,λ)1= {[(1- Ui )-1/λ -1] /αβ}1/2

2-4-2 Simulation study

The Monte Carlo simulation software, created in MATLAB 2022, enables the comparison of reliable estimators over the steps that come next:

  • 1. Random samples x1, x2, …, xn, of sizes n, where n = 10, 20, 50, 100, are generated from the IDNAI distribution.

  • 2. The real parameter values are considered for two experiments (α, β, λ) in Table 1:

  • 3. The Bias for all proposed estimators about the parameters was evaluated as follows, utilizing L = 1000 duplicates, which illustrated in Tables 2 and 3:

    (58)
    Bias=1Li=1L|ϑ̂iϑ|,ϑ=(α,β,λ)

  • 4. The MSE for all suggested estimators w.r.t. parameters was calculated as below using L = 1000 duplicates: as illustrated in Tables 2 and 3:

    (59)
    MSE=1Li=1L(ϑ̂iϑ)2.

Table 1. Shown two cases of real parameters.

Caseαβ λ
10.72.02.0
21.50.51.8

Table 2. Bias and MSE of case 1.

∝=0.7 β=2.0 λ= 2.0
nMse/BiasMLELS Best I
10Mse ̂ 0.00200.1941MLE
Bias ̂ 6.4500e-040.0125MLE
Mse β̂ 0.01600.8239MLE
Bias β̂ 0.00550.0128MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.02808.2454MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.09620.2553MLE
20Mse ̂ 0.00200.3194MLE
Bias ̂ 2.1100e-040.0069MLE
Mse β̂ 0.00992.0694MLE
Bias β̂ 0.00380.0132MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.64827.9692MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.05090.2762MLE
50Mse ̂ 0.00070.1792MLE
Bias ̂ 3.1300e-040.0181MLE
Mse β̂ 0.00500.7214MLE
Bias β̂ 0.00420.0235MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.21597.7296MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.01460.2486MLE
100Mse ̂ 0.00030.4536MLE
Bias ̂ 6.8000e-040.0114MLE
Mse β̂ 0.00183.0239MLE
Bias β̂ 0.00250.0217MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.00847.3317MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.00400.2556MLE

Table 3. Bias and MSE of case 2.

∝=1.5 β=0.5 λ= 1.8
nMse/BiasMLELS Best I
10Mse ̂ 0.01020.0440MLE
Bias ̂ 0.00450.0109MLE
Mse β̂ 0.00160.0303MLE
Bias β̂ 3.3800e-040.0118MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.47318.1057MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.05900.2184MLE
20Mse ̂ 0.00450.0952MLE
Bias ̂ 0.00120.0090MLE
Mse β̂ 0.00070.0986MLE
Bias β̂ 8.3700e-040.0112MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.39757.0912MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.01550.2311MLE
50Mse ̂ 0.00190.5751MLE
Bias ̂ 0.00320.0122MLE
Mse β̂ 0.00020.2269MLE
Bias β̂ 1.2900e-040.0155MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.03736.6451MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.01150.2003MLE
100Mse ̂ 0.00130.5473MLE
Bias ̂ 0.00170.0090MLE
Mse β̂ 0.00020.2770MLE
Bias β̂ 8.2100e-040.0122MLE
Mse λ̂ 0.01575.6964MLE
Bias λ̂ 0.00350.2492MLE

2-5 Application for comparison and fitting real-world dataset

This section relates to Tables 4 and 5, which present survival times (in days) and descriptive data, respectively, for 72 guinea pigs infected with virulent tubercle bacilli, as documented by Olubiyi et al.,22 to illustrate the flexibility and applicability of the IDNAI distribution. To determine how well the IDNAI distribution fits the data, seven models that comprise the baseline distribution would be compared: the Weibull Gumbel type II distribution (WGuTII), the Exponentiated Gumbel type II (EGuTII) distribution, the Gumbel type II (GuTII) distribution, the Weibull Rayleigh distribution (WRD), the Exponential Lomax distribution (ELD), the Exponential Rayleigh distribution (ERD), and the Logistic distribution. Akaike information criteria (AIC), Bayesian information criteria (BIC), corrected Akaike information criterion (AICC), Hannan-Quinn information criterion (HQIC), consistent Akaike information criterion (CAIC), Kolmogorov-Smirnov K-S distance with P-values, and a minus two times of the negative log-likelihood value are used to confirm that the IDNAI distribution is a suitable model for the data set. The basis for comparing the models would be the reduced log-likelihood estimate and the mentioned information criteria. Having the lowest minimized log-likelihood and information statistics value is the ideal model. Accordingly, based on the findings in Table 6, the IDNAI might be chosen as the dataset’s best fit model.

Table 4. Dataset of the survival times (in days).

0.10.330.440.560.590.720.740.770.920.93
0.96111.021.051.071.071.081.081.08
1.091.121.131.151.161.21.211.221.221.24
1.31.341.361.391.441.461.531.591.61.63
1.631.681.711.721.761.831.951.961.972.02
2.132.152.162.222.32.312.42.452.512.53
2.542.542.782.933.273.423.473.614.024.32
4.585.55

Table 5. Descriptive statistics of dataset.

Stats names Stats values
Mean1.7682
Median1.4950
Mode1.0800
Std. Dev.1.0345
Skewness1.3419
Kurtosis4.9911
Sample size72

Table 6. Parameter estimates with different information criteria.

DistributionParameters estimateNeg2LogLAICBICHQICCAICAICCK-S Stat P-Value
IDNAIalpha=0.135, beta=0.500, lambda=4.537187.9999193.9999200.8298196.7194194.6461194.35280.11160.3081
Logisticmu=1.637, sigma=0.541202.1306206.1306210.6840207.9433206.3046206.30460.09890.4525
WRDalpha=1.825, beta=1.996191.5796197.5796204.4096200.2987197.9326197.93260.09780.4824
ELDalpha=272457603.679, lambda=481771451.918476.1900482.1900489.0200484.9091492.020023482.542970.29450.070
ERDalpha=1172907863446629791710576640, beta=1.861193.6750197.6750202.2283199.4877197.8489197.84890.11660.2606
WGuTIIBeta=0.599,theta=15.230,alfa=2566.429,lambda=0.231189.202197.202206.305200.823210.309197.7990.31460.0944
EGuTIITheta=9.234,alfa=2582.288, lambda=0.230193.604199.604206.434202.320209.434199.9570.34910.0821
GuTIITheta=1.069, lambda=1.173236.332240.332244.885242.142246.885240.5060.37700.0791

3- Results

3-1 Special cases of the new IDNAI distribution

The following may be concluded from the proposed IDNAI distribution’s PDF in Equation (19).

  • (i) The IDNAI (α,β,λ) distribution follows the Beta prime distribution with parameters 1 and λ for the random variable y = αβX2.

  • (ii) When the random variable Z = βX2, then the IDNAI (α,β,λ) distribution is interpreted to Lomax distribution with two parameters (α,λ).

  • (iii) When the random variable W = α X2, then the IDNAI (α,β,λ) distribution reduce to Lomax distribution with two parameters (β,λ).

  • (iv) When the random variable V = X2,then the IDNAI (α,β,λ) distribution reduce to Lomax distribution with three parameters (α,β,λ).

  • (v) When the random variable T = αβx2, then the IDNAI (α,β,λ) distribution reduce to Power function distribution with one parameter λ.

3-2 Figures of probability functions of IDNAI distribution

Figure 1 shows the graph of the probability density function for the IDNAI distribution with certain parameter values. The PDF graph in Figure 1 above demonstrates that the density of the IDNAI distribution might be symmetric, adjacent symmetric, right-skewed, or bimodal.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure1.gif

Figure 1. IDNAI distribution's pdf according to different values of α, β and λ.

Figure 2 shows the cumulative distribution function graph for the IDNAI distribution with certain parameter values. The CDF graph in Figure 2 shows that the cumulative distribution function of the IDNAI distribution is a function that does not decrease.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure2.gif

Figure 2. The CDF of IDNAI distribution for different values of α, β and λ.

The graph in Figure 3 shows the Reliability function for the IDNAI distribution with certain parameter values. The reliability function graph in Figure 3 shows that the reliability function of IDNAI distribution is a non-increasing function, which is what most people already know.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure3.gif

Figure 3. The Reliability function of IDNAI distribution for different values of α, β and λ.

Figure 4’s graph of the Hazard function illustrates that the IDNAI distribution’s hazard rate has a convex form for different values of the parameters.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure4.gif

Figure 4. The Hazard function of IDNAI distribution for different values of α, β and λ.

Figure 5 shows the cumulative hazard function of the IDNAI distribution. This shows how it may be used in survival analysis and reliability theory by showing the overall failure risk up to time x. It demonstrates that when x increases, the cumulative danger escalates, conforming to standard survival model expectations. When λ is larger, the hazard accumulation is higher, which means the failure rates are higher. When α and β are removed, the curves are flatter, which means the risk increase is lower. The graphic shows how the properties of the IDNAI distribution change based on different dependability scenarios.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure5.gif

Figure 5. The IDNAI distribution’s cumulative hazard function for various values of α, β and λ.

The graph in Figure 6 shows how the reverse hazard function of the IDNAI distribution changes when different parameters are used, especially λ, which affects failure rates. This function is very important for survival modeling and reliability analysis since it shows how strong the distribution is in situations when reliability is important.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure6.gif

Figure 6. The Reverse hazard function of IDNAI distribution for different values of α, β and λ.

Figure 7 shows that the odd function grows quickly as x gets bigger, especially when the parameters α, β, and λ are big. Solid curves with λ = 1 expand a lot faster than those with λ = 0.5, which shows that the tail behavior is stronger. This function is a good way to show how flexible a model is and how well it controls its tail because it is very sensitive to changes in its parameters.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure7.gif

Figure 7. The Odd function of IDNAI distribution for different values of α, β and λ.

The graph in Figure 8 shows how well a model fits by comparing the empirical cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a dataset with many fitted CDFs from theoretical models. The empirical CDF and IDNAI and LOGISTIC are very near, while WGUTII, EGUTII, and GUTII are only moderately close. WRD and ELD, on the other hand, are very different from each other.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure8.gif

Figure 8. Empirical, fitted distributions.

The graph in Figure 9 shows the p-values and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) statistics for eight fitted distributions side by side. The IDNAI and logistic models provide a strong fit to the data, as evidenced by their minimal K-S value and maximal p-value. On the other hand, the models WRD, ELD, ERD, WGUTII, EGUTII, and GUTII have low p-values, which mean they don’t fit the real data as well. The way the models are set up makes it easy to compare them and choose the best one.

3ad33224-018a-4e03-885c-45a096d06de8_figure9.gif

Figure 9. Histogram for K-S and P-value of fitted distributions.

3-3 Tables of Bias, MSE, dataset, and parameter estimations utilizing different information criteria

The proposed real parameters are shown in Table 1, and the MSE and Bias calculations for the proposed estimators are provided in Tables 2 and 3. Tables 4 and 5 contain the dataset and its descriptive statistics, respectively. Table 6 displays the information criterion and estimation parameters for each fitted distribution.

4- Discussions

4-1 According to the tables of Bias and mean squared errors (MSEs), we identify

  • 1. Bias of the two estimators for the parameters:

    The bias Tables 2, 3 obviously demonstrated the outlines across the two cases:

    • The MLE method reliably displayed the least bias, regardless of all the sample size.

    • LS displayed varying degrees of bias performance, particularly in the estimation of λ.

  • 2. Mean Squared Error (MSE) of the two estimators for the parameters:

    The MSE Tables 2, 3 of the estimators of parameters for each method across two cases indicate:

    • MLE had the lowest mean squared error across all parameter settings.

    • LS have minimal efficacy, particularly when sample sizes were limited or when settings were chosen to reduce their value.

Consequently, the MLE method was very stable and efficient in a wide range of situations. It is a strong nominee for use in the real world especially when the data is complex or not normal.

4-2 The basis for comparing the models would be the reduced log-likelihood estimate and the mentioned information criteria

Having the lowest minimized log-likelihood and information statistics value is the ideal model. Accordingly, the IDNAI may be selected as the dataset’s optimal fit model in the sense of minimum information criteria based on the Table 6.

5- Conclusion

Over the past ten years, numerous novel distributions introduced in the literature appear to emphasize more general and adaptable types. By utilizing the method that creates the T-X family, it is possible to establish creative distributions that can either be exceptionally general and flexible or specifically tailored to fit certain kinds of data distributions, such as those that are highly left-tailed (right-tailed, thin-tailed, or heavy-tailed) as well as those that are bimodal. This study presents a novel family of probability distributions known as the T–R {Y} distribution family. The resulting family distribution has a number of statistical and mathematical characteristics. Numerous statistical and mathematical characteristics of these distributions are derived, including the related probability functions, the moments, the failure rate, the cumulative hazard functions, the entropies, the moments, order statistics … etc. To encourage the new family members’ suitability for fitting real-world data sets, we developed a specific member of the new family called the Lomax–Rayleigh {Exponential} and named it by IDNA distribution. the literature on the family of probability distributions for complex applications is expected to use the new family. Two approaches were used to estimate parameters for IDNAI, and their effectiveness was then assessed using Monte Carlo simulation. According to the results, the Maximum likelihood technique performed better than the least square method when evaluated in terms of mean squared error and bias. After applying the suggested distribution to empirical data, a comparison showed that it performed better than some models based on goodness-of-fit standards like the Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), and others.

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Salman AN and Hassan I. Mathematical and Statistical Properties for a New IDNAI Distribution[a] [version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]. F1000Research 2026, 15:177 (https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.172616.1)
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