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Research Note

Evidence of polygenic selection on human stature inferred from spatial distribution of allele frequencies

[version 1; peer review: 1 approved with reservations]
PUBLISHED 16 Jan 2015
Author details Author details
OPEN PEER REVIEW
REVIEWER STATUS

Abstract

Spatial patterns of allele frequencies reveal a clear signal of natural (or sexual) selection on human height. The average frequency of 66 common genetic variants for 26 populations belonging to 5 sub-continental human groups was significantly correlated to average phenotypic population height. The method of correlated vectors provided additional evidence for a signal of natural selection in SNPs with higher significance. Factor analysis of the five top genome-wide association study (GWAS) hits revealed a clear factor indicating selection pressures on human height, peaking among northern Europeans and some African groups (Esan Nigeria) whilst reaching a nadir among South-East Asians.

Keywords

Height; Evolution;Polygenic Selection; Height

Introduction

A recent GWAS (Wood et al., 2014) based on a very large sample (N=250K) identified common variants responsible for normal variation in human height within populations.

Over the last few years, researchers have started moving away from the study of genetic evolution using a single-gene, Mendelian approach towards models that examine many genes together (polygenic). The more genes are involved in a given phenotype, the more the signal of natural selection will be “diluted” across different genomic regions (because each gene accounts for a tiny effect) making it difficult to detect it using approaches focused on a single gene (Pritchard et al., 2010; Piffer, 2014). A first attempt at empirically identifying polygenic selection was made by Turchin et al., (2012) on two populations (Northern and Southern Europeans) and evidence for higher frequency of height increasing alleles (obtained from GWAS studies) among Northern Europeans was provided. A drawback of that study was the reliance on populations from a single continent and that crude pairwise comparisons (e.g. French vs. Italian) were used without correlating frequency differences to average population height. Moreover, the strength of selection was not determined.

Two different approaches to identify selection based on the correlation of allele frequencies across different populations have been recently developed by Piffer (2013) and Berg & Coop (2014).

Piffer’s method uses factor analysis of trait increasing alleles (found by GWA studies) as a tool for finding a factor that represent the strength of selection on a phenotype and the underlying genetic variation (Piffer, 2014a). An additional methodology consists of computing the correlation between genetic frequencies and the average phenotypes of different populations; then, the resulting correlation coefficients are correlated with the corresponding alleles’ genome-wide significance (p value). If the alleles contain selection signals, a positive correlation will be found, as alleles with high p value (more likely to be false positives) have a weaker correlation to average population phenotype (Piffer, 2014a).

Piffer’s method (Piffer, 2013; Piffer, 2014a) to identify signals of polygenic selection was used in this study and applied to the top five GWAS hits (ranked according to p value). Piffer (2014b) carried out a study on height SNPs but it was based on a smaller GWAS sample and an older version (phase 1) of the 1000 Genomes data, containing data for only 14 populations. This paper uses the phase 3 1000 Genomes data and the GWAS meta-analysis was carried out on a much larger sample size, which produces more hits with better significance. The aim of this paper is to test the hypothesis that stature has undergone natural or sexual selection in populations after humans dispersed in different continents giving rise to distinct genetic clusters.

Methods

Frequencies of alleles with a positive effect (height increasing) were obtained from 1000 Genomes (phase 3): http://browser.1000genomes.org/index.html comprising 26 populations belonging to five racial groups.

Average population height was obtained from the references listed at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_height, considering only statistics published after 2000 and young age groups (18–40). Only 11 populations met these criteria (see references in Table 1).

Table 1. Polygenic score and height.

PopulationPolygenic
score (%)
Height
(cm)
Reference (Height)
Afr.Car.Barbados48.94
US Blacks48.71178.00McDowell et al., 2008
Esan Nigeria49.50
Gambian48.97
Luhya Kenya48.42
Mende Sierra Leo49.03
Yoruba48.52
Colombian46.05170.60Meisel & Vega, 2004
Mexican LA46.95170.6McDowell et al., 2008
Peruvian46.48
Puerto Rican46.79
Chinese Dai44.88
HanChineseBejing44.76170.2Yang et al., 2005
HanChineseSouth45.70170.2Yang et al., 2005
Japanese44.85172.00Ministry of Ed., 2004
Vietnam44.76165.70Hung & Park, 2008
UtahWhites47.62178.9McDowell et al., 2008
Finns48.09180.70National Institute for Health and Welfare, 2011
British46.80177.80Moody (2013). Health Survey for England
Spanish46.77
TuscanItaly47.11177.00Cacciari et al., 2002*
Bengali Banglade46.09
Gujarati Ind. Tx47.12
Indian Telegu UK47.62
Punjabi Pakistan47.21
SriLankanUK46.98

*Not on Wikipedia. Region of a country, more specific statistics found elsewhere.

For each chromosome, the three alleles with the highest p values were selected, and these were all unlinked (>500Kb apart from each other). Only unlinked alleles were used to avoid the confounding influence of linkage on cross-population allele frequency. Selection was restricted only to the alleles with the highest significance because these are less likely to be false positives. The same number of SNPs (3) from each chromosome was used to get a representative sample of the entire genome, to avoid bias due to chromosome location. The conventional nominal p-value < 5×10-8 was used as significance threshold (Barsh et al., 2012).

A polygenic score was calculated as the mean frequency of height increasing alleles (defined as those with a positive Beta coefficient in the meta-analysis).

Analyses were carried out using R.

Results

Populationrs3814333 Trs3791679 Ars724016 Grs1812175 Grs9292468 Trs4896582 Grs42039 Trs4733724 Ars817300 Gchr.10 rs1923367 Grs606452 Ars3825199 Grs3118905 Grs2093210 Crs7162542 Grs26868 Ars2079795 Trs4369779 Crs11880992 Ars143384 Grs2834442 Ars738288 Grs2284746 Grs2289195 Ars7652177 Grs7692995 Trs7701414 Grs806794 Ars798497 Ars10958476 Crs7870753 Grs12779328 Crs1681630 Trs8756 Crs7334755 Crs1950500 Trs2280470 Ars1659127 Ars2854207 Grs9967417 Grs2074977 Crs1884897 Ars2211866 Ars5757318 Trs9428104 Grs3116168 Crs2581830 Trs17556750 Ars4868126 Grs12214804 Crs552707 Trs4735677 Trs7849585 Trs7899004 Trs2237886 Trs10748128 Trs7319045 Ars862034 Grs2871865 Crs11648796 Grs3760318 Grs11152213 Crs4803468 Ars1074683 Crs9977276 Grs7284476 AAverageHeight cm
AFR2197827034491610018422493977626081239764281436925625628646594774288371928471471483727380782354612680587636068526055251577751648.86363636
AMR29764278424817619734282681347445446235347539455156833155741114773033814653242026603045107057402466331624464610363865865063135167852946.53030303
ASN442332613426228100344828987995513586312951125255584024771913773491003072565072116549662426176212119344919645473897777195776925845.1969697
EUR3077428142672777924716217241564232794341654050435287427071202070344581283234264334394614757138306482629336110353863872761254176733947.28787879
SAS32752788396611501005314138760704939843459743343295570115583151390222388334434152346446519674746197952430344711553760855261324084843147.07575758
ACB2196787136117189821392491927445481239561331934866124688866291734686371929392270473347279797404415977619625374505652281780751948.93939394Afr.Car.Barbados
ASW319479743016132798263927938976155175278563311534836830608675189703489412125481761484247080707473916566619685461614654231679772448.71212121178.00US Blacks
ESN1698887029281410015382994100781618525100652912369358246089468977749883914324615745543070818213252106815910605866505960251480741949.5Esan Nigeria
GWD209477593408141002045149699800758122996526193597503165830659585419233223450187839340807784026471548660755586657635823147674848.96969697Gambian
LWK179784812921111100155025939879255851698562645191452355844639568369037242151966553326790762314610577537716176436962251377801848.42424242Luhya Kenya
MSL269981694229161001635249599740618124997222153298522568824689490368930182551973384417877781365111888555656661516848221477741449.03030303Mende Sierra Leo
YRI19978671371715100184424939874057772410068311331946022569237494734682391628461170503617279751403911881567646568525554291471701348.51515152Yoruba
CLM2969397339452257993522218038703845663135724346515781325680142272353282354624203254353912806040216833152641549394360813765114870783546.04545455170.60Colombian
MXL267441824464136995383626843474475064352773454548578624636711579182783625923202556225157059372771401123483814343461916161144360913446.95454545170.60Mexican LA
PEL27804984463476499293931901989554445191586374658559312427788881833886181142310852149459463127714482544301030296688806667454952346.48484848Peruvian
PUR33804173385224599536242572436540397350547135444657754962701318714137743434321934483743157061502457212824395610384371873159224178782546.78787879Puerto Rican
CDX4126336128281221003352209789954339912434541192559820217623377306100226461317687555732826166315118325819615662857474136473906344.87878788Chinese Dai
CHB482132603628232100354631996997473482342349026235086025771517934111002976506064126240671732126213021335425605382918081185374926344.75757576170.20HanChineseBejing
CHS48213361302022410040523599839350298330285212629618502179234774081002582596075136152662619156210318335018675577898577165978916245.6969697170.20HanChineseSouth
JPT422535604224137100304633977597583887452348029204594017801657332111003872475065106353522427285415121373518685573927374265076944944.84848485172.00Japanese
KHV412228613228226993242229679925335882137533252763721367418477327100356463617213664775232416698218354815645070857281195977925744.75757576165.70Vietnam
CEU3377418450722977905016217442564230754135644957405389446973171967315179272929244333444013726939306593028376211363863872763264275704547.62121212178.90UtahWhites
FIN3576518440732383924022216931594625783844744150515786286165172177364988343832242937345113768236396253025306213404367934166163974743848.09090909180.70Finns
GBR348151803858258190521723713752472977463659465039498844676821157335457928302629463639321276724030688253031528384165842162253971744846.8030303177.80British
IBS28803778416332769151152172465540387743436531474053885172722027653239802531403144333453157568372862112130366410283561812152263879743546.77272727Spanish
TSI227234814160267295431221744658423687494763374745478642807623176734417928334123513142501476663922637253331667353360902361294579752947.10606061177.00TuscanItaly
BEB30692888425495099561513876672564285295672314028626610488514991172587314037111956375822734444237662226314714533560864854264081813046.09090909Bengali Banglade
GIH35812987377110441005113118455715341813365744048325273126182191588192583354437172534436415724944127752637413910544054845060284383842947.12121212Gujarati Ind. Tx
ITU31742591396712471005216129263684640893663733039275972105086191093222189304335162343466818654550207952426315011563268885765374086873647.62121212Indian Telegu UK
PJL3076328939651458100451311845577463482345969335228527395879111387302489354832152447506920644741198442932324911493655835359364086833447.21212121Punjabi Pakistan
STU3474228638691150100601416896261463783365479313631526811598311168922219231432914225144672064495120783203032498624063835364323886872546.98484848SriLankanUK
p value4.80E-512.40E-673.20E-1582.10E-861.50E-332.60E-553.80E-886.00E-304.30E-344.90E-241.90E-233.90E-491.10E-693.00E-358.20E-553.20E-181.70E-461.50E-536.90E-281.20E-1214.40E-155.50E-111.20E-402.40E-372.70E-391.10E-711.30E-344.60E-742.20E-711.70E-403.50E-331.70E-172.40E-204.50E-909.10E-153.20E-222.80E-442.80E-191.30E-422.20E-401.90E-201.30E-483.50E-131.90E-092.80E-361.40E-314.40E-258.30E-482.80E-291.50E-499.30E-466.00E-301.10E-297.00E-175.30E-184.40E-298.40E-156.40E-201.70E-341.40E-183.00E-416.90E-131.70E-217.70E-382.90E-106.10E-090.832945202
r with pol.score-0.7903317620.8995796630.7829081710.260514643-0.056466468-0.2805138390.224436571-0.215307661-0.054084056-0.409053397-0.08379395-0.169657534-0.0889775790.316524532-0.431162869-0.7975776940.626854356-0.053813274-0.251505880.8364173040.3714849270.5248369-0.2878970680.2873719720.728064201-0.6530993640.4761708040.7094160320.407274032-0.6772088160.8478698320.57303710.7066755870.779231214-0.4253621170.154407311-0.842688347-0.6437715360.8894018240.26005088-0.0036115390.824961094-0.634425385-0.8529927680.2899668620.8877553430.875186477-0.472216002-0.5930114720.5765887680.381759561-0.4874820050.7503312790.41740887-0.7494608430.0785618520.253547933-0.180683834-0.747553706-0.234098265-0.7559830860.351941269-0.8609063640.173435412-0.718700559-0.8192768070.033352981
r with height-0.4355741290.7527126030.6253452180.7473093260.3581806530.5468843320.7482860870.649129375-0.745404320.449843435-0.660145189-0.386511072-0.719016657-0.418467523-0.774281084-0.436582276-0.256672674-0.1261509980.5654920390.4940920180.4382017030.6473551530.4796610270.4521725980.0169164020.1820121070.7449627670.653452155-0.2288671640.0053446380.618527966-0.1311878110.3317844010.878927022-0.614234797-0.214447917-0.796947232-0.6006543350.7166288640.679022114-0.8005359950.794086517-0.643388598-0.6312082420.2182945760.8263570920.5618162110.4696176-0.326641511-0.1663329290.8710979280.2295082150.0538683480.636421819-0.546016073-0.436207714-0.364379151-0.441890046-0.179750584-0.740673452-0.703686410.466718891-0.7096005520.171517023-0.844235975-0.5330044260.037406839
Dataset 1.Hits 1+2+3.
This dataset reports the frequencies of 66 height increasing alleles, 3 from each autosomal chromosome. Data derived from derived from 1000 Genomes, phase 3 data.
SNPcorrelation pol.scorep valuecorrelation height
rs3814333 T-0.7903317624.80E-51-0.435185412
rs3791679 A0.8995796632.40E-670.752462577
rs724016 G0.7829081713.20E-1580.623793405
rs1812175 G0.2605146432.10E-860.747921959
rs9292468 T-0.0564664681.50E-330.361312015
rs4896582 G-0.2805138392.60E-550.548300183
rs42039 T0.2244365713.80E-880.749356619
rs4733724 A-0.2153076616.00E-300.649735752
rs817300 G-0.0540840564.30E-34-0.746958959
chr.10 rs1923367 G-0.4090533974.90E-240.451896188
rs606452 A-0.083793951.90E-23-0.660979914
rs3825199 G-0.1696575343.90E-49-0.387438596
rs3118905 G-0.0889775791.10E-69-0.719340499
rs2093210 C0.3165245323.00E-35-0.418902705
rs7162542 G-0.4311628698.20E-55-0.77481394
rs26868 A-0.7975776943.20E-18-0.436008702
rs2079795 T0.6268543561.70E-46-0.25765619
rs4369779 C-0.0538132741.50E-53-0.126728505
rs11880992 A-0.251505886.90E-280.56541549
rs143384 G0.8364173041.20E-1210.492622706
rs2834442 A0.3714849274.40E-150.437903524
rs738288 G0.52483695.50E-110.648092852
rs2284746 G-0.2878970681.20E-400.48147312
rs2289195 A0.2873719722.40E-370.45172992
rs7652177 G0.7280642012.70E-390.016179505
rs7692995 T-0.6530993641.10E-710.183059635
rs7701414 G0.4761708041.30E-340.745732761
rs806794 A0.7094160324.60E-740.653774382
rs798497 A0.4072740322.20E-71-0.229007987
rs10958476 C-0.6772088161.70E-400.005526059
rs7870753 G0.8478698323.50E-330.617755225
rs12779328 C0.57303711.70E-17-0.133724693
rs1681630 T0.7066755872.40E-200.330209833
rs8756 C0.7792312144.50E-900.8796947
rs7334755 C-0.4253621179.10E-15-0.615096355
rs1950500 T0.1544073113.20E-22-0.215518
rs2280470 A-0.8426883472.80E-44-0.797214943
rs1659127 A-0.6437715362.80E-19-0.600610521
rs2854207 G0.8894018241.30E-420.715808727
rs9967417 G0.260050882.20E-400.679694216
rs2074977 C-0.0036115391.90E-20-0.801339563
rs1884897 A0.8249610941.30E-480.794553472
rs2211866 A-0.6344253853.50E-13-0.643900391
rs5757318 T-0.8529927681.90E-09-0.630991547
rs9428104 G0.2899668622.80E-360.218109784
rs3116168 C0.8877553431.40E-310.825899289
rs2581830 T0.8751864774.40E-250.560947504
rs17556750 A-0.4722160028.30E-480.470238255
rs4868126 G-0.5930114722.80E-29-0.325278253
rs12214804 C0.5765887681.50E-49-0.167196297
rs552707 T0.3817595619.30E-460.871911706
rs4735677 T-0.4874820056.00E-300.230500158
rs7849585 T0.7503312791.10E-290.0534823
rs7899004 T0.417408877.00E-170.636915448
rs2237886 T-0.7494608435.30E-18-0.545711591
rs10748128 T0.0785618524.40E-29-0.437152144
rs7319045 A0.2535479338.40E-15-0.36538669
rs862034 G-0.1806838346.40E-20-0.442070794
rs2871865 C-0.7475537061.70E-34-0.179083175
rs11648796 G-0.2340982651.40E-18-0.741175702
rs3760318 G-0.7559830863.00E-41-0.703211417
rs11152213 C0.3519412696.90E-130.4677196
rs4803468 A-0.8609063641.70E-21-0.708524126
rs1074683 C0.1734354127.70E-380.17154974
rs9977276 G-0.7187005592.90E-10-0.845162738
Dataset 2.Method of correlated vectors (MCV).
This dataset reports SNP names, p value and the correlation between p value with poylgenic score (col.B) and average height (col.D). Data derived from 1000 Genomes, phase 3 data.

Polygenic score

Polygenic scores and average country height are reported in Table 1. The Pearson correlation between polygenic score and average country height was r=0.83 (N=11, p=0.002). Table 2 reports average frequencies by sub-continental populations.

Table 2. Frequencies of height increasing alleles for sub-continental populations.

ContinentPolygenic
score (%)
AFR47.69
AMR45.92
ASN45.52
EUR46.65
SAS46.549

Frequencies in descending order are: 1) Africans (AFR); 2) Europeans (EUR); 3) South Asians (SAS); 4) Latin Americans/Hispanics (AMR); 5) East Asians (ASN).

Method of correlated vectors (MCV)

Spearman’s rank order correlation between each allele’s p value and its correlation with the polygenic score and with height were respectively -0.26 and -0.34 (N=66, p=0.037 and 0.0053). The “rcorr” and “cor” functions in R produced slightly different results due to differences in dealing with ties (equal values). “cor” produced slightly stronger coefficients (-0.28 and -0.37).

This provides evidence for the hypothesis that more significant GWAS hits (alleles) are enriched with natural selection signal. A similar phenomenon was observed in a previous analysis of genes affecting human height (Piffer, 2014b).

Factor analysis of the top 5 hits

Factor analysis requires a satisfying cases to variable ratio, thus only a handful of SNPs could be used and these had necessarily to be those with the lowest p value, as they are more likely to be genuine hits (see previous section, MCV).

The top 5 alleles (i.e. those with the lowest p value) all correlated with the polygenic score and with average height in the expected direction (positively), as shown in Table 3 (see Dataset 2).The average correlations were 0.58 and 0.69, respectively, which is a significant improvement compared to the average of the correlations with polygenic score and height of all the 66 alleles (r=0.03 and 0.04, respectively; see Dataset 1, cells BP38–39).

Table 3. Top five SNPs

(p value and r with polygenic (pol) score).

SNPrs724016.Grs1812175.Grs42039.Trs143384.Grs8756.C
GWAS p value 3.2E-1582.1E-863.8E-881.2E-1214.5E-90
r with pol. score 0.780.260.220.840.78
r with average
pop. height
0.620.750.750.490.88

A factor analysis using minimum residuals was carried out. A single factor was extracted that explained 42% of the variance. Factor loadings are displayed in Table 4. These are all positive (in the expected direction).

Table 4. Top 5 SNPs

Standardized loadings (pattern matrix) based upon correlation matrix.

Gen.coordinateSNP IDFactor loading
142.588.260 (Chr.3)rs724016.G0.62
145.794.294 (Chr.4)rs1812175.G0.33
92.082.358 (Chr. 7)rs42039.T0.62
33.489.170 (Chr.20)rs143384.G0.48
64.646.019 (Chr.12)rs8756.C1

Factor scores were extracted with the Thurstone method (Thurstone, 1947), and are reported in Table 5.

Table 5. Factor scores.

PopulationHeight Top 5
SNP factor
Height
(cm)
Afr.Car.Barbados1.08
US Blacks0.24178.00
Esan Nigeria1.29
Gambian0.73
Luhya Kenya0.38
Mende Sierra Leo0.38
Yoruba1.08
Colombian0.08170.60
Mexican LA-0.27172.00
Peruvian0.15
Puerto Rican0.44
Chinese Dai-1.76
HanChineseBejing-1.41172.10
HanChineseSouth-1.62172.10
Japanese-1.41172.00
Vietnam-1.69165.70
UtahWhites1.43179.00
Finns1.29180.70
British1.01177.80
Spanish0.58
TuscanItaly0.72177.00
Bengali Banglade-0.41
Gujarati Ind. Tx-0.41
Indian Telegu UK-0.69
Punjabi Pakistan-0.48
SriLankanUK-0.70

The Pearson correlation between average country height and the factor score was strongly positive (r=0.88, N=11, p=0.001). This factor was also significantly correlated to the polygenic score (r=0.78, N=26, p<0.001).

Discussion

A polygenic score, created by averaging frequencies from 26 populations of 66 height increasing alleles by the largest and most recent human height GWAS, was positively correlated with the average height of 11 populations. The method of correlated vectors revealed that alleles with lower p values had a higher correlation with phenotypic height and polygenic score, suggesting that they tend to be enriched with signal of natural selection. A factor analysis of the top five GWAS hits produced a factor (whose loadings are all in the expected direction) which is significantly and strongly correlated both to population average height and to polygenic score. This showed an improvement over the correlation of the five single alleles with population height (Table 3, last row) which averaged 0.66, which in turn improved over the average correlation of the 66 alleles, which was near zero.

The rankings of polygenic scores match with the folk perception on the stature of various racial groups: Africans> Europeans> South/Central Asians> Hispanics> East Asians (Table 2).

South East Asians had the lowest scores, a result which matches with their anthropometric description.

Within Europe, northern Europeans (Finns and White Americans) had a higher genotypic stature than their southern counterparts (Italians and Spaniards), confirming the results from a previous study on GWAS loci which compared northern vs southern Europeans (Turchin et al., 2010).

A limitation was the unavailability of sound statistics on the average height of many populations. Moreover, although human height is largely heritable, it is also heavily influenced by nutrition and living conditions. The importance of environment is suggested by the dramatic secular trend which took place in the 20th century in developed countries (e.g. Arcaleni, 2006; Webb et al., 2008); an association with dietary intakes (i.e. milk consumption) and socioeconomic status has also been observed (Mamidi et al., 2011; Webb et al., 2008). Most of the missing data were for developing countries which likely have not reached their full growth potential or ethnic groups living in Western societies (Indian Telegu or Gujarati) for which anthropometric statistics are not easily available. If the allele frequency factor represents a genuine signal of natural selection, then the difference between it and current phenotypic height could be used as an indicator of the quality of diet and living conditions in general.

Conclusion

Factor analysis of allele frequencies is a promising method for detecting signals of recent selection on polygenic traits.

Data availability

F1000Research: Dataset 1. Hits 1+2+3. 10.5256/f1000research.6002.d41833 (Piffer, 2014c).

F1000Research: Dataset 2. Method of correlated vectors (MCV). 10.5256/f1000research.6002.d41834 (Piffer, 2014d).

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Piffer D. Evidence of polygenic selection on human stature inferred from spatial distribution of allele frequencies [version 1; peer review: 1 approved with reservations]. F1000Research 2015, 4:15 (https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.6002.1)
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Reviewer Report 30 Oct 2015
Ben Busby, The School of Biochemistry, NCBI/NLM/NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA 
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The only major thing that, in my opinion, stands between this manuscript is the availability of the R scripts used to produce the data tables (especially given the difference between corr and rcorr). I looked for any linking to or ... Continue reading
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Busby B. Reviewer Report For: Evidence of polygenic selection on human stature inferred from spatial distribution of allele frequencies [version 1; peer review: 1 approved with reservations]. F1000Research 2015, 4:15 (https://doi.org/10.5256/f1000research.6422.r9015)
NOTE: it is important to ensure the information in square brackets after the title is included in all citations of this article.

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Approved with reservations - A number of small changes, sometimes more significant revisions are required to address specific details and improve the papers academic merit.
Not approved - fundamental flaws in the paper seriously undermine the findings and conclusions
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