ALL Metrics
-
Views
-
Downloads
Get PDF
Get XML
Cite
Export
Track
Systematic Review
Revised

Risk factors for mortality due to neonatal sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

[version 2; peer review: 1 approved with reservations]
PUBLISHED 23 Jul 2025
Author details Author details
OPEN PEER REVIEW
REVIEWER STATUS

Abstract

Background

Certain risk factors have been shown to increase the mortality of patients with neonatal sepsis. This study aimed to determine the risk factors for neonatal sepsis-related mortality.

Methods

Google Scholar, MEDLINE, ProQuest, ScienceDirect, and Scopus databases were searched to identify relevant literature from 2014 to 2023. Observational analytical studies in English that reported the risk factors for neonatal sepsis mortality were chosen. We assessed the risk of bias by using the checklists of the Joanna Briggs Institute. Fixed-effect models were used when the number of included studies was <5; otherwise, random-effects models were employed. Heterogeneity was evaluated using the I2 statistic. Publication bias was assessed using a funnel plot, and a sensitivity analysis was performed. Statistical significance was set at P <0.05. Analyses were conducted using the RevMan 5.4.1.

Results

Twelve out of 40,587 articles included a total of 2232 patients. The majority of patients were male (50.4%–70%). The I2 statistics showed no heterogeneity across studies for sex, gestational age, birth weight, or requirement for inotropic support. History of invasive ventilation (OR = 35.06 [16.84–72.99]), requirement for inotropic support (OR = 18.04 [8.38–38.81]), low 1st minute Apgar score (OR = 4.93 [2.1–11.58]), convulsive (OR = 4.69 [2.03–10.82]), poor feeding (OR = 3.95 [2.12–7.33]) episodes, preterm birth (OR = 3.63 [2.78–4.74]), low birth weight (OR = 3.02 [1.58–5.75]), early onset sepsis (OR = 2.52 [1.74–3.64]), and lethargy (OR = 2.14 [1.5–3.04]) were associated with neonatal sepsis mortality.

Conclusions

A history of invasive ventilation use, requirement for inotropic support, low 1st minute Apgar score, convulsions, poor feeding episodes, preterm birth, low birth weight, early onset sepsis, and lethargy were identified as significant risk factors for neonatal sepsis mortality. Clinicians must be vigilant to improve outcomes and prevent death.

Keywords

meta-analysis, mortality, neonatal sepsis, risk factors, systematic review.

Revised Amendments from Version 1

We've made some minor changes to the paper, particularly in the "Statistical analysis" section, due to the typographical error.

See the authors' detailed response to the review by Samuel R Neal

Background

Neonates with infections face significant challenges, as the outcomes for this population can be quite poor.1 Neonatal infections, particularly systemic infections known as neonatal sepsis, remain a prevalent concern.2 Neonatal sepsis is characterized by a systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) triggered by infection within the first four weeks of life.3,4 Due to the non-specific nature of initial clinical signs—such as tachycardia, fever, and drowsiness—neonatal sepsis can often be misdiagnosed as other neonatal conditions, including metabolic diseases, respiratory distress syndrome, and intracranial hemorrhage.3 Furthermore, clinical manifestations such as respiratory distress, hypothermia, cyanosis, apnea, convulsions, and prolonged capillary refill time are closely associated with mortality related to neonatal sepsis, possibly linked to metabolic derangements and cardiovascular collapse.5,6

Neonatal sepsis is a major health concern in neonatal health care units worldwide.4 Neonatal infections account for more than one-third (36%) of all neonatal mortalities worldwide.7,8 The mortality rate of neonatal sepsis ranges from 9% to 65%.9 Sepsis is the main cause of neonatal mortality, accounting for more than one million deaths each year worldwide.7,8 According to the World Health Organization (WHO), 2.4 million neonates die from neonatal sepsis,10 with developing countries accounting for 40% of these deaths.11 In developed countries, mortality rates range from 5% to 20%, resulting in significant disability.1215

All organ systems undergo discernible physiological transitions and learn to respond to various external stimuli during the neonatal period, which means that this period is a period of high exposure, as they perform tasks necessary for survival outside the womb.16 The immaturity of the immune system at this time, especially in premature neonates, lends different clinical, physical, and outcome characteristics to infections compared to other age groups. Furthermore, inherent factors such as poorly established and immature skin barriers, mucosal defense mechanisms, and blood-brain barriers contribute to the increased vulnerability of neonates to infection. Therefore, neonates are more susceptible to various pathogens.17

Preterm birth, low birth weight, and prolonged rupture of membranes are known risk factors that increase the likelihood of neonatal sepsis-related mortality.3,18 In addition to these risk factors, studies have shown that low socioeconomic conditions can further increase the likelihood of neonatal sepsis mortality. This could be due to poor access to healthcare facilities or a lack of awareness of preventive measures for neonatal sepsis.19 Clinicians should recognize these risk factors and take measures to prevent, diagnose, and treat neonatal sepsis to reduce morbidity and mortality. Herein, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the risk factors of mortality in patients with neonatal sepsis.

Methods

This systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted following the reporting guidelines provided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) in 2020.20 Our research protocol was registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), with registration number CRD42023456164.

Data sources and search strategy

Five electronic databases, namely Google Scholar, MEDLINE, ProQuest, ScienceDirect, and Scopus, were independently searched by three authors (SM, AH, and MR) to explore relevant literature published in English between 2014 and 2023. The databases were searched using the following keywords and their variations: “risk factors,” “neonates,” “sepsis,” and “mortality” (Additional File 1). In addition, back referencing was conducted by reviewing the bibliographies of the included studies to identify potentially relevant literature.

Eligibility criteria

Articles were included if they met the following criteria: 1) human studies, 2) original articles, 3) neonate studies (0–28 days), 4) observational analytic studies (cohort studies, case-control studies, and cross-sectional studies), 5) were published in English, and 6) reported on one or more risk factors for neonatal sepsis mortality. Anonymous reports, case reports, citations without abstracts and/or full texts, commentaries, duplicate publications, editorials, letters to the editor, reviews, and qualitative studies were excluded. In cases where duplicate reports or studies were shared, the analysis included the first published article with the largest patient sample.

The selection of studies was carried out independently by three authors (SM, AH, and MR) following a three-step process based on predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria. The first step involved screening the article titles. Titles approved by either author were then used in the second step. In the second step, the abstracts of the articles selected from the first step were screened. The abstracts approved by the two authors were then moved on to the third step. The final step involved screening the full text of the studies. The full texts of the studies selected in the second step were reviewed by all three authors. Studies approved by all three authors were included in this meta-analysis. Any disagreements were resolved by consensus discussion with the fourth author (DH).

Study quality assessment

Three authors (SM, AH, and MR) independently assessed the risk of bias in the included studies using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Checklist. Any disagreements regarding the risk of bias in particular studies were resolved through consensus-based discussions with the fourth author (DH). The quality of the studies was determined based on a previous meta-analysis, in which studies with a JBI score of over 70% were considered to be of high quality, those with a score between 50% and 70% were classified as medium quality, and those with a score below 50% were considered to be of low quality.21

Data extraction

All selected articles underwent a double data entry process using Microsoft Excel spreadsheets. Two authors (SM and AH) independently used a predesigned data extraction form to extract the data. Any discrepancies between the authors were resolved through consensus-based discussions with the fourth author (DH). The data collection encompassed the authors’ names, country, year of publication, study design, study period, sampling method, sample size, number of deceased patients, and number and percentage of analyzed risk factors.

Statistical analysis

We used the odds ratio to determine the correlation between neonatal sepsis mortality and its risk factors. Random-effects and fixed-effects models were used in this meta-analysis. Fixed-effect models were used when the number of included studies was less than five22; otherwise, random-effects models were implemented. The degree of heterogeneity in effect sizes was evaluated using I2 statistics.23,24 I2 values ranged from 0 to 100%, with a value of 0% indicating no heterogeneity. The I2 value of 0%–25% indicates no heterogeneity, 25%–50% indicates moderate heterogeneity, 50%–75% indicates large heterogeneity, and 75%–100% indicates extreme heterogeneity.23,25,26 This was visually represented in a forest plot. The overall effects were calculated using the combined Z-value. A p-value of significance was set at P < 0.05.25 Sensitivity analysis was conducted by removing each study and recalculating the p-value for the remaining studies.27 Funnel plots were used to assess the presence of publication bias among the risk factor groups,2830 with a minimum of six studies.31 All analyses were performed using RevMan 5.4.1 (Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK).32

Results

Search results

A total of 40,587 articles were identified on the basis of the search criteria from the selected databases. After removing the duplicates, 32,566 articles remained. Furthermore, 29,162 articles were excluded after reviewing their titles and abstracts. Of the remaining 3,404 articles, 3,394 were excluded because they either had citations without full text and/or abstracts, lacked necessary statistical data, did not provide patients’ demographic characteristics, or did not include mortality data. Two articles were obtained through back-referencing after excluding 16 from a total of 18 articles. Ultimately, 12 articles were included in the meta-analysis.15,17,18,3341 The process of selecting relevant literature is shown in Figure 1.

97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure1.gif

Figure 1. Flowchart of the literature selection process.

Study characteristics

The risk of bias was assessed using the JBI checklists. All the articles included in the study scored above 70% on the JBI checklist, indicating that they were of high quality ( Figure 2).15,17,18,3341 The articles were published between 2017 and 2023. Most of the studies were case-control studies conducted in different regions, ranging from Indonesia to Ethiopia. In total, there were 2232 patients involved in the studies, with varying sample sizes of neonates ranging from 50 to 455. The proportion of males in the study samples ranged from 50.4% to 70%. The number of deceased neonates varied from 21 to 174 (Table extended data).15,17,18,3341

97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure2a.gif97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure2b.gif97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure2c.gif

Figure 2. Risk of bias of included studies.

(a1, a2) Case-control studies. (b1, b2) Cohort studies. (c1, c2) Cross-sectional study.

Mortality-related risk factors

In this study, we collected 14 effect sizes from the 12 studies.15,17,18,3341 Our analysis revealed an increased risk of mortality in neonates with sepsis who had a history of using invasive ventilation (OR = 35.06 [16.84–72.99]), required inotropic support (OR = 18.04 [8.38–38.81]), had a low 1st minute Apgar score (OR = 4.93 [2.1–11.58]); convulsive (OR = 4.69 [2.03–10.82]), poor feeding (OR = 3.95 [2.12–7.33]) episodes; preterm birth (OR = 3.63 [2.78–4.74]), low-birth-weight (OR = 3.02 [1.58–5.75]), early onset sepsis (OR = 2.52 [1.74–3.64]), and lethargy (OR = 2.14 [1.5–3.04]) ( Figure 3).

97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure3a.gif97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure3b.gif97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure3c.gif

Figure 3. Forest plots show the association between risk factors and neonatal sepsis mortality.

(a) Gender. (b) Onset of sepsis. (c) Birth weight. (d) Gestational age. (e) Mode of delivery. (f ) Admission type. (g) Low 1st minute Apgar score. (h) Hypothermia episodes. (i) Convulsive episodes. (j) Jaundice episodes. (k) Lethargy episodes. (l) Poor feeding episodes. (m) The use of invasive ventilation. (n) Requirement for inotropic support.

Heterogeneity, sensitivity analysis, and publication bias

The I2 statistics for sex, birth weight, gestational age, and requirement for inotropic support did not show heterogeneity among the studies ( Figure 3). Our sensitivity analysis revealed that the overall estimates for the onset of sepsis, birth weight, gestational age, a low 1st minute Apgar score, having convulsive, poor feeding episodes, the use of invasive ventilation, and the requirement for inotropic support were not influenced by any single study. The funnel plot for admission and convulsive episodes displayed a symmetrical distribution, suggesting no significant publication bias in the included studies ( Figure 4).

97a57627-cd57-4f84-b3e1-e14ad1193004_figure4.gif

Figure 4. Funnel plots of meta-analysis including.

(a) Gender. (b) Onset of sepsis. (c) Gestational age. (d) Mode of delivery. (e) Admission type. (f ) Convulsive episodes.

Discussion

Our analysis showed that history of invasive ventilation, requirement for inotropic support, low 1st minute Apgar score, convulsive, poor feeding episodes, preterm birth, low birth weight, early onset sepsis, and lethargy was identified as significant risk factors for neonatal sepsis mortality ( Figure 3).

As proven in this study, neonates who experienced early onset sepsis (EOS) were approximately two times more at risk of mortality. This finding could be attributed to the rapid and severe progression of the condition leading to septic shock and eventual death, commonly seen in cases of EOS.42 Nevertheless, a few studies have documented a higher mortality rate due to late-onset sepsis (LOS).43,44 The increased mortality rates observed in the LOS group were attributed to the performance of invasive procedures, extended hospital stay, and prolonged administration of antibiotics.40,45,46 Neonates with sepsis and a history of invasive ventilation were 35 times more at risk for death, as observed in this meta-analysis.

Neonates with sepsis and a history of poor feeding were at risk of mortality four times. Breast milk, as a source of vitamin A and antibodies, helps fight infections in neonates. Sepsis in poorly fed neonates has been shown to engender hypoglycemia through the inhibition of gluconeogenesis, lactic acidosis, and increased glucose requirements. Thus, the risk of death was high in this group of neonates.17 Neonates with sepsis who developed multiple organ failure were at a high risk of death. These neonates require inotropic drugs to support their cardiovascular system.18 In our study, neonates who required inotropic support were 18 times at risk of mortality. The Apgar score is clinically used to evaluate hemodynamic impairment. It was performed in the 1st minute as a screening tool to determine the need for early intervention. Low Apgar scores were correlated with increased mortality in neonates without congenital anomalies.47 Neonates with sepsis a low 1st minute Apgar score were five times more at risk for mortality in this study.

As observed in this study, preterm birth and low birth weight (LBW) septic neonates increased the risk of neonatal sepsis mortality by three times each. The prevalence of sepsis was higher in preterm and LBW neonates, with a mortality rate of 17.6%. Preterm neonates with sepsis face higher complication risks due to their immature immune systems, leading to impaired humoral immunity and vulnerability in their early days.48 Mortality in this group of neonates is due to insufficient immunoglobulin synthesis, complement systems (C3 and C5), phagocytosis, and opsonization.49 The risk of mortality in preterm neonates with sepsis increases as birth weight decreases.50 LBW neonates are more vulnerable to sepsis due to the insufficiency of the immune system and the number of invasive and therapeutic procedures performed, leading to nosocomial infections.51

Neonates with sepsis who presented with lethargy were twice at risk for mortality, while those who had convulsive episodes were four times at risk of death. Our conclusions are in accordance with those of previous studies.5,46 Similar to the observations of other authors, we found that sepsis neonates with lethargic and convulsive episodes had significantly higher mortality rates, which may be attributed to cardiovascular collapse and metabolic derangements.41,5255 Structural brain lesions, such as brain infarctions and hemorrhage, are aggravated by convulsive episodes, which govern the overall physiological and hemodynamic stability. Other conditions such as acute neonatal encephalopathy can also increase mortality in patients with sepsis17

Our study has some limitations. Some of the limitations are: 1) The inclusion criteria of the studies, which were published exclusively in English, may limit their representativeness; and 2) Data regarding the risk of various adverse outcomes were derived from a limited number of studies. There is a need for large prospective studies with appropriate controls to further explore these issues.

Conclusions

In summary, we found through a meta-analysis that neonates with sepsis who had a history of using invasive ventilation, required inotropic support, had a low 1st minute Apgar score, had convulsive and poor feeding episodes, preterm birth, low birth weight, early onset sepsis, and lethargy were more at risk for death. Clinicians must be alert about this risk factor and employ early and personalized treatment strategies to increase effectiveness and minimize mortality.

Declarations

Ethics approval and consent to participate

Not applicable.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Comments on this article Comments (0)

Version 2
VERSION 2 PUBLISHED 19 Dec 2024
Comment
Author details Author details
Competing interests
Grant information
Copyright
Download
 
Export To
metrics
Views Downloads
F1000Research - -
PubMed Central
Data from PMC are received and updated monthly.
- -
Citations
CITE
how to cite this article
Miranda S, Harahap A, Husada D and Reza M. Risk factors for mortality due to neonatal sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis [version 2; peer review: 1 approved with reservations]. F1000Research 2025, 13:1532 (https://doi.org/10.12688/f1000research.158689.2)
NOTE: If applicable, it is important to ensure the information in square brackets after the title is included in all citations of this article.
track
receive updates on this article
Track an article to receive email alerts on any updates to this article.

Open Peer Review

Current Reviewer Status: ?
Key to Reviewer Statuses VIEW
ApprovedThe paper is scientifically sound in its current form and only minor, if any, improvements are suggested
Approved with reservations A number of small changes, sometimes more significant revisions are required to address specific details and improve the papers academic merit.
Not approvedFundamental flaws in the paper seriously undermine the findings and conclusions
Version 1
VERSION 1
PUBLISHED 19 Dec 2024
Views
14
Cite
Reviewer Report 28 May 2025
Samuel R Neal, The University of Edinburgh College of Medicine and Veterinary Medicine,, Edinburgh, UK 
Approved with Reservations
VIEWS 14
Summary

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, the authors aimed to determine risk factors associated with mortality from neonatal sepsis and estimate their effect sizes. They included 12 studies in their final analysis and identified nine risk ... Continue reading
CITE
CITE
HOW TO CITE THIS REPORT
Neal SR. Reviewer Report For: Risk factors for mortality due to neonatal sepsis: a systematic review and meta-analysis [version 2; peer review: 1 approved with reservations]. F1000Research 2025, 13:1532 (https://doi.org/10.5256/f1000research.174322.r383246)
NOTE: it is important to ensure the information in square brackets after the title is included in all citations of this article.
  • Author Response 07 Aug 2025
    Stefani Miranda, Drs.Titus Uly Kupang Police Hospital, Jalan Nangka 84, Kupang, East Nusa Tenggara, 85112, Indonesia
    07 Aug 2025
    Author Response
    Point-by-point response to Reviewer’s comments

    We would like to express our gratitude to the Reviewer for the constructive and insightful comments. We believe that these comments have significantly improved ... Continue reading
COMMENTS ON THIS REPORT
  • Author Response 07 Aug 2025
    Stefani Miranda, Drs.Titus Uly Kupang Police Hospital, Jalan Nangka 84, Kupang, East Nusa Tenggara, 85112, Indonesia
    07 Aug 2025
    Author Response
    Point-by-point response to Reviewer’s comments

    We would like to express our gratitude to the Reviewer for the constructive and insightful comments. We believe that these comments have significantly improved ... Continue reading

Comments on this article Comments (0)

Version 2
VERSION 2 PUBLISHED 19 Dec 2024
Comment
Alongside their report, reviewers assign a status to the article:
Approved - the paper is scientifically sound in its current form and only minor, if any, improvements are suggested
Approved with reservations - A number of small changes, sometimes more significant revisions are required to address specific details and improve the papers academic merit.
Not approved - fundamental flaws in the paper seriously undermine the findings and conclusions
Sign In
If you've forgotten your password, please enter your email address below and we'll send you instructions on how to reset your password.

The email address should be the one you originally registered with F1000.

Email address not valid, please try again

You registered with F1000 via Google, so we cannot reset your password.

To sign in, please click here.

If you still need help with your Google account password, please click here.

You registered with F1000 via Facebook, so we cannot reset your password.

To sign in, please click here.

If you still need help with your Facebook account password, please click here.

Code not correct, please try again
Email us for further assistance.
Server error, please try again.